(02-26-2009 12:00 PM)TexanMark Wrote: I'm guessing they would be around 12-6 when done. Thoughts?
I don't think a question like this can really be definitively answered for two reasons. First, the games aren't decided on the court meaning that the entire process is subjective and based on fan opinion. I've watched a lot of basketball this year but my opinion on how good Memphis would be versus the rest of the Big East is really no more valid than someone else's opinion. I can present a few facts to back up my argument, but at the end of the day, my argument is still primarily based around my own opinion. Second, how well a team does in the conference depends a lot on the schedule they receive. If Memphis had to played Pitt/UConn twice and then a team like Marquette or Villanova twice, they would do worse (IMO) than if they got a schedule where they played Villanova twice and then two middle tier teams.
With the above disclaimer in place, I'll give you my opinion on how well Memphis would do this year. Let's consider a few pieces of information I think are relevant to the discussion.
Memphis was 2-2 against the Big East this season.
- They won at Seton Hall (11th in conference) by a score of 84-70
- They lost at Georgetown (12th in conference) in OT 79-70
- They lost to Syracuse (8th in conference) at home 72-65
- They won at UC (9th in BE) by a score of 60-45
Memphis has an RPI of 8 (would rank 4th in the Big East) and a SOS of 47 (would rank 12th in the Big East). Memphis is 24-3 so far this year.
Based on the above information, I would guess that Memphis would fall into the Villanova-Marquette-West Virginia group and would finish between 4th and 7th. If I had to be more precise, I would guess that they would fall right between Marquette/Villanova and WVU to finish 6th in the conference.