TerryD
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I Root For: Notre Dame
Location: Grayson Highlands
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RE: Big 12 does not seem to be finished.....
(04-05-2012 10:54 PM)JRsec Wrote: (04-05-2012 09:24 PM)Lurker Above Wrote: (04-05-2012 08:00 PM)JRsec Wrote: (04-05-2012 07:30 PM)Lurker Above Wrote: (04-05-2012 10:58 AM)JRsec Wrote: They will suddenly, and with certainty, materialise in concert with the announcement of the contract specifics. Just as surely as those who profess security in a 6 year grant of rights would dissipate like spit in the desert should 8 of the 10 Big 12 schools suddenly bolt (enough to kill the conference and make moot the 6 year grant of rights). No conference, no TV rights. They are still feeling this thing out at Texas or there would already be 12 schools in the Big 12 and a new commissioner. ESPN must be sure that even if they bolted it would be to one of their network affiliated conferences or they would have insisted upon expansion rather than merely giving it an incentive in this round of negotiations.
This thing is not over at all. If you consider the Big 10 has a network, the SEC wants a network, and they both want large new markets then the obvious target would be the ACC. You don't find many significant markets in Oklahoma, Kansas, and West Texas. If you already have an entrance in the Dallas/Ft. Worth market and Houston market what else do you need?
The Big 10 has Kansas and Missouri for a market. What do they get by going West? North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming? They get more in one ACC state than in all of those put together. The partnership with the PAC is about sharing each other's markets, not playing football. I'm afraid the only expansion target left worth having is the ACC. But to your advantage, I don't think ESPN would be too keen on having the best part of that market in the Big 10's hands.
I know it sounds crazy, but right now the best thing that could happen for the Big 12, ACC, and SEC would be a sports alliance. Not one conference, not an academic union, but regional play as if all of their combined teams were in one conference. It would cut overhead, please fan bases with easier travel and games that are more meaningful to them, and give us unity in negotiating the best Football, Baseball, and arguably best Basketball played in the nation. Together we are worth so much more than apart.
But, this is precisely why I believe the Big 10 would want a piece of this market. Recruiting, relevance, and tv share are the motives. And, the Big 10 would like to drive a dagger into the possibility of the aforementioned alliance before we could profit by it and lock them out.
There are thirtyeight teams in our 3 conferences. We could combine and add South Florida, the three service academies, Tulane, Louisville, Brigham Young, and Cincinnati. That would be a market stretching from Syracuse and the Hudson River in New York to the Rockies and Great Salt Flats out west. It would also take away a couple of the best targets remaining in our footprint by taking in Tulane and South Florida. And would claim one tv market, Cincinnati, right in the heart of Big 10 country. We would have eight divisions in two regions with 6 teams geographically associated in each division.
The hang up has always been academics versus sports. Why do the two even have to be associated.
If we wanted we could make it 56 and include eight of the following: Rice, Tulsa, East Carolina, Marshall, Southern Missisisippi, Houston, Louisiana Tech, Colorado State, U.A.B., Central Florida, or Memphis, or someone else I've omitted.
This garbage is happening because our academic leaders are too rigid and uninvolved. They establish criteria for governing an entire organization rather than compartmentalizing. Why would anyone think that by playing baseball in a league regularly with E. Carolina your academic profile would somehow be lowered? Or, how could the SEC assume that by playing football with W.V.U. their academic rating would somehow drag down that of Mississippi State? It's nuts!
If we want to avoid the potential for demise we need to be proactive, rather than reactive. It's time our university presidents started talking to one another rather than just listening to our commissioners, who were hired because of their media connections. The latter has always bothered me. We pay them, but just whom do they work for? JR
Why would the SEC and B1G share any of the spoils?
If we are referring to television markets it would simply be due to the division of teams from that area and certainly not intentional or in concert with the Big 10. If in reference to the teams directly I believe it would be totally dependent upon which ones the Big 10 took. They have a profile they have stated suits their conference. They prefer state schools who are members of AAU and have fairly large enrollments. That means their likely targets would be Maryland, Georgia Tech, North Carolina, and Virginia from the ACC. Miami and Duke are private. The SEC wouldn't mind having more members of AAU as we presently only have 4 who will be members when A&M and Mizzou join Vandy and Florida. But our interests would be met with geography more than with fitting an institutional profile. If I didn't answer your question forgive me and we'll try again. But, no I don't think they are interested in sharing much of anything right now. JR
Thank you for your reply. I do enjoy your posts, but you did misunderstand me. I do not believe the SEC and the B1G will share with each other. What I meant was why would the two biggest dogs in the neighborhood let any of the other smaller dogs have any of the best territory? The SEC and the B1G are each others only true competition, and when they are done, no other conference will have pulled out a university either of these two conferences wanted.
I can see your point more closely now said the farsighted old man. I think you are absolutely correct about that. The question is who will they want and why? And, how many will they want?
If I were Jim Delaney, (and of course I'm not) I would want my Big 10 Network primed with coast to coast coverage. With the PAC partnership all he needs is the East. Rutgers, Maryland, U.N.C., Virginia, Georgia Tech, and possibly Duke would all fit that bill. But does he leave Syracuse on the table, or UConn? Neither fit his profile. Boston College is great academically, but they don't fit it either as they are not a state college with a large draw. If I'm Delaney I'm looking at 18 to 20 for my final conference numbers. I pick up Rutgers, Syracuse, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, Duke, and Georgia Tech and convince Notre Dame that this is armageddon and they've got to choose. That's one heckuva televison market to grab!
Why would Notre Dame care about that? Why would they think that such a move is Armageddon? They can still play their other sports in whatever grouping of leftover BE/ACC/A10, etc... schools are available.
"If I'm Mike Slive (ditto Delaney) I would take Virginia Tech, North Carolina State, Clemson, Florida State, Pitt, and make a pitch for Notre Dame just like Delaney. That's a great market increase for the SEC, but it is a lockout of competition from the best recruiting grounds in the country. They will have gotten broader and stronger."
Notre Dame would not join the SEC in 100 years. There is no commonality between SEC schools (other than Vanderbilt) and ND and nothing about the SEC that would cause ND to want to join that conference.
I know that "you get a chuckle" about Irish fans being adamant about ND remaining an independent in football.
But, if you think that ND would ever consider joining the SEC, you know nothing about Notre Dame, the institution or the athletic program.
The only "Armageddon" out there would be a four conference champ only playoff that effectively shuts ND out of any chance at playing for a national title.
Other than that, ND can remain an independent.
" I have to believe that Notre Dame would have to choose a conference at this point. If they picked the B1G then the SEC takes either Miami or South Florida or perhaps another longshot would be S.M.U. to go with A&M. If for any reason Ga Tech did not go B1G we might take them. Twenty teams, four divisions of five teams each.
If Notre Dame chose the SEC who would the B1G take for #20 I guess it might be UConn instead of B.C. especially without N.D., or they might just decide to stay at 18."
Why do you believe that?
(This post was last modified: 04-06-2012 06:56 PM by TerryD.)
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