(09-13-2012 02:38 AM)7fielder Wrote: (09-13-2012 02:32 AM)ChrisLords Wrote: (09-13-2012 02:15 AM)7fielder Wrote: What is the penalty onto Texas if they suddenly break their GOR?
That the Big 12 will own all of Texas media rights for 13 years. So the Big 12 would make all the money off of Texas's TV rights and Texas would have none.
Then I stand corrected. First I heard that. That is actually very punitive.
Then I am asking not stating... would you say that the Bevo GOR is similar to the 50 million ACC penalties in terms of detriment of leaving?
Yes and no. Media contracts are back-laoded, which means that there won't be any material difference between major conference deals until late in the contracts. However, a GOR for a $20 million dollar contract 10 year contract may be worth $28 million in the last year, but $200 million in the first year. Whereas a $50 million buyout will always be worth $50 million. Since there is little incentive for schools to leave early on in the contract, the GOR is most effective when it isn't needed. However, since damages are low at the end of the contract, when there is the most differentiation, the GOR is least effective when schools are most likely to leave.
The GOR ensures that schools will be around for most of the current contract (which they probs would anyway). The high buyout ensures that schools will be around beyond the contract.
**my numbers don't take the time-value of money into account because that would needlessly complicate things**
Our Clemson firnds have overlooked the fact that the high buyout creates stability, which allows schools to invest in their future. This will likely strengthen programs. For instance, if RU could go back in time, do you think that they would have dumped a ton o fmoney into their program, which is currently worth -$19, and losing money, if they knew that they were going to end up in a glorified CUSA? I doubt that they would have, because it is a HUGE loss o ftheir part, and NJ is broke, and the school is hurting for cash. However, if you could go bakc in tim eand ensure that RU would end up in the B1G if they dumped money in their program, do you thin kthat they would have? I do, because RU would know that it would be a profitable investment. Similarily, knowing that FSU, UC, Miami, VPI, and GT will remain in the ACC lets the other schools confidently invest in their programs, because they know that they will get a return on their investment.
Also, raising the barriers to leave helps ensure the conference's composition, whihc is valuable when negotiating TV contracts. TV companies don't want to pay for a team like FSU, and then not get it, so if they think there is a chance of FSU bolting, then they will discount the price that they are willing to pay.
Increasing the buyout should lead to a larger TV contract, and to a better product on the field. It screws the teams that would have jumped to a better conference, but it helps everyone else. So, if FSU and UC would have stayed anyway, then they profit. If they would have bolted, then they lost. It's that simple.