(05-19-2015 12:00 AM)Waterloo Wrote: I'm sold H1. I've been wanting the next B1G Ten programs (if the conference expands) to stay in the midcontinent.
Under your scenario, what would happen to Kansas State and Oklahoma State? I thought there was political pressure to keep those little brothers tied to their respective lead dogs. Texas would be Texas and pull a Notre Dame/BYU type scenario.
I can see ISU, KSU, Baylor, Tech, TCU, WVU, Okie State surviving by adding a few MWC schools and maybe a couple AAC schools - though I'd stay away from adding too many AAC programs. I'm thinking CSU, UNM, BSU, Cincinnati and Houston. Replace any of those programs with BYU in a heart beat if Provo changes their mind.
That kind of surviving Big XII wouldn't be a P5 anymore, but it may be able to keep its status like the old Big East did until the next major shift in college sports occurs. I'm just not sure if the state politicians in KS and OK would allow the big brothers to leave the little brothers.
If the B1G Ten were able to invite OU and KU, then all of the above changes would be worth it.
ISU and KSU aren't tied to their fellow State Institutions. Iowa and ISU aren't even tied together with conference affiliations. If the big 12 falls apart in ten years, Iowa would have nothing to do with that.
The situation with KSU and Kansas though is a little more complex. The two schools don't necessarily have to end up in the same conference but I highly doubt they will be able to take part in a plan that could leave KSU in a much weakened state. Thus for The Big Ten to land Kansas, Kansas State will have to end up in one of the P4 conferences.
ISU and KSU best serve the PAC out of any of the P4. The PAC needs to move into a new time zone. ISU, KSU, Texas Tech and TCU as a combo is strong enough to make that strong Central Time Zone move worthwhile for ESPN and Fox to pay them more. That means that PAC match ups can be played at the Noon Eastern Time kick off slot. That would be huge.
Texas would, in my opinion, take a negotiated agreement with The ACC that would be very complex. The LHN would be part of it, Texas bringing a school with them to The ACC would be part of it and a partial membership agreement, like the one with Notre Dame, would also be part of it. With Texas and Notre Dame standing firmly together, it will be inevitable that the CFP is expanded. With a brand new P4, it would be hard to beat out the Conference Champions that emerge from Conference Tournaments, not just Conference Championships.
Sure, records could make it possible but with just four slots, The Conference Champions win any perceived draw or close comparison. A strong Notre Dame or Texas program though is still a major draw for the CFP and the combined money that gets spread to everyone.
To go with Texas is Baylor. ESPN will push for UConn to be the other school due to issues within the State that ESPN is headquartered in, Connecticut. The LHN is part of that as it is rolled into a larger Regional ACC Network.
Oklahoma State and West Virginia fit in perfectly with the SEC Hierarchy. We see West Virginia fit well into a division with Tennessee, Kentucky and Missouri. We see Oklahoma State fit in well with LSU, Texas A&M and Arkansas.
This is why Oklahoma and Kansas end up with The Big Ten.