(10-18-2017 02:09 PM)10thMountain Wrote: USF for Mizzou is a terrible trade.
Yes, UM is struggling right now but they're the only flagship/P5 school in a state of 6 million people. USF is a commuter school that plays in a NFL market/stadium in a state we already have the Flagship school of.
While I'm not advocating for trading anyone 10th, I would be interested in USF down the road for reasons I've stated and which you have either not engaged or read.
There is a leveling coming in about 15 years. The last monied generation, the Boomers, will be dying out at numbers the WWII generation died out in the 90's and 2000's. Statistically speaking it will be economically devastating to the support level of college athletics in terms of high dollar ticket sales and donations. But of particular note moving forward from 2035 the large living alumni advantages that the huge state flagships have had for my entire lifetime will be gone with me.
At that time UCF and USF will have living alumni bases as large as those of Florida State and Florida, and in UCF's case likely much larger.
To ignore the future potential of these schools would be foolish for the ACC and SEC.
Florida is growing state with a healthy economy.
X was doing a bit of light trolling with his swap proposal. But commuter school or not those two will be viable. South Florida is already approaching research numbers that would rival the bottom 1/3rd of the SEC and those will only get stronger.
You have to think past tomorrow to succeed in life. Otherwise you'll always trail the results.
I think when the FBI gets done there is a high probability that college for profit sports lose their tax exempt status. It would clean up a lot of legal issues that waste time and money for enforcement oversight and the government. And the Federal Government is broke as hell and only survives because of our military's technological advantages. When we lose that the United States could be facing an economy which in terms of catastrophe could rival South American countries. That now 21 trillion in debt is actually just the interest on the debt. We quit counting the principal under the Clinton Administration. 21 trillion is what we have to budget for the annual payment, which of course we borrow even more to cover.
But needles to say when programs like Men's basektball and football and in some areas baseball or hockey are taxed and donations lose their tax deductible status the weeding out of weaker teams will happen without conferences having to kick them out.
With flagship advantages in living alumni gone by 2035 the larger alumni bases will start to receive advantages in state funding. All but the best endowed privates will suffer. And state schools who control votes will be in good shape commuter school or not.
There aren't many nationally better positioned than USF and UCF. Texas is already P5 poor. A reduction of P status to just Texas, A&M, Tech, and maybe Houston would be in order. S.M.U. is actually better endowed for the purposes of moving forward than T.C.U. or Baylor.
The nut cuttin' is gonna get tough and the results of who survives and who doesn't is going to surprise a helluva lot of folks.
And for the geographically ignorant Central Florida has a culture alien to North Florida and the Panhandle, but distinctly different from the Southernmost region of the state. The SEC would be very wise to consider adding from Central Florida which Tampa is.
And by the way, having a stadium you don't have to bear the cost of overhead to maintain will probably be a plus moving forward as opposed to having a landlocked facility on campus where parking is sparse.