RE: Teams looking to become Bowl Eligible Week 12 and those still alive
ACC - PROJECTION 9
Already bowl eligible (7) - Miami (FL), UVa, VT, Clemson, NCSU, Louisville, Wake
GT - Needs 1 from (@Duke, vs Georgia).
Duke - Needs 2 from (GT, @ Wake). Basically GT at Duke is an elimination game.
Pitt - Needs to beat @VT and Miami (FL). Not going to happen.
BC - Needs 1 from (@ UConn, @Syracuse). They'll probably make it.
Florida State - Needs 3 from (Del State, @Florida, and ULM). 50-50 at best here
Syracuse - Needs 2 from (@Louisville and BC). About a 30 percent chance here.
I think GT and BC make it and everyone else falls short. 9 total bowl eligible teams
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AAC - PROJECTION 6
Already eligible (5) Houston, Memphis, SMU, Navy, UCF, USF
Temple needs 1 from (UCF, @Tulsa). I think they get there.
Tulane needs 2 from(Houston and @SMU). I think they fall short.
So, the AAC gets 6 bowl eligible teams
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Big XII - PROJECTION - 6
Already eligible (5)- OU, TCU, OSU, WVU, ISU
Texas needs 1 from (@WVU, TTU). I think they get there
Tech needs 1 from (TCU, @UT). I think they fall short
KSU needs 1 from (@OSU, ISU) 50-50, I'll put them on the outside because they haven't beaten anyone of their remaining two teams' caliber all year
Projection - 6 teams
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Big Ten - Projection 8 teams
Already eligible -(7) Wisconsin, NW, Iowa, Ohio St, Mich St, Penn St, Mich
Minnesota - needs 1 from @NW, @Wisconsin. I think they fall short
Nebraska - needs 2 from (@Penn State, Iowa). Not happening
Purdue - needs 2 from @Iowa, Indiana. Unlikely, the PU/IU game is an elimination game
Indiana - needs 2 from (Rutgers, @Purdue). Both their remaining games are elimination games
Rutgers - needs 2 from (@Indiana, @ Mich State). I don't see them getting there
Maryland - needs 2 from (@Mich State, and Penn State. I don't see that happening.
Its possible that none of these teams qualify. But with so many paths, I'll guess that one makes it (I'm thinking Indiana or Purdue)
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CUSA - Projection 8
Already eligible (5) - UNT, UAB, USM, FAU, FIU, Marshall
UTSA - Needs 1 from (Marshall, @LaTech).
WKU - Needs 1 from (MTSU, @FIU).
MTSU - Needs 1 from (@WKU, ODU)
LaTech - Needs 2 from (@UTEP, UTSA)
ODU - Needs 2 from (Rice, @MTSU)
Boy this is an interesting situation. Basically, if Marshall wins at UTSA, then only 1 from UTSA/LaTech bowls. WKU probably needs to beat MTSU to bowl, and if they do then ODU vs MTSU becomes an elimination game. I think La Tech, MTSU, and WKU make it. While its possible all 5 bowl, its unlikely.
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Independents - Projection 2
Already eligible (2) - ND, Army
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MAC - Projection 7
Already eligible (5) - Toledo, No. Ill, CMU, WMU, Ohio
Akron - Needs 1 from (Ohio, Kent). They'll get there
Miami (OH) - Needs 2 from (EMU, @Ball St.). They should make it
Buffalo - Needs 2 from (@Ball St, Ohio). Not likely
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MWC - Projection 6
Already eligible(4) - Boise, Wyo, CSU, Fresno, SDSU
Utah State - Needs 1 from (Hawai'i, @AFA). I think they get there
AFA - Needs 2 from (@Boise, USU). Unlikely
UNLV - Needs 2 from (@NM, @Nevada). 50-50. I'm going to put them in.
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Pac 12 - Projection 9
Already eligible - (5) -USC, Arizona, Wash St, Stanford, Wash State,
Arizona State - Needs 1 from (@Ore St, Arizona). They'll get there
UCLA - Needs 1 from (@USC, Cal)
Utah - Needs 1 from (@Wash, Colorado)
Colorado - Needs 1 from (@Utah)
Oregon - Needs 1 from (Arizona, Ore State). They'll get there
Cal - Needs 1 from (@Stanford, @UCLA).
This is another mess. Assuming favorites win rivalry games and Utah loses to Washington, then Oregon, Arizona State, the winner of Cal/UCLA, and the winner of Colorado/Utah bowl.
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SEC - Projection 9
Already eligible - (8) Ala. Auburn, LSU, MSU, TAMU, Ga, USC, Ky.
Ole Miss - Needs 1 from (@Miss St, @LSU).
Missouri - Needs 1 from (@Vandy, @Ark)
Ark - Needs 2 from (Miss State, Missouri)
Vandy - Needs 2 from (Missouri, @ UTenn)
Tenn - Needs 2 from (@LSU, Vandy)
Basically if Mississippi State and LSU win out, and Missouri wins at Vandy, then only Missouri would go. I think that happens.
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Sun Belt - Projection 6
Already eligible (3) - Troy, App, Georgia State
Ark State - Needs 1 from (Texas St, @ULM, Troy). They're bowling
ULL - Needs 2 from (NMSU, Ga Southern, @App). I think they make it
ULM - Needs 2 from (@Auburn, Ark State, @Florida State). Unlikely
USA - Needs 2 from (@Ga Southern, @NMSU).
NMSU - Needs 2 from (@ULL, Idaho, USA)
Idaho - Needs 2 from (Coastal, @NMSU, @Ga State)
Ok. I'll take ULL and Ark State, plus one more because its the Belt and nothing makes sense there.
So, there you have it as of today as far as I see it.
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I think that gets us to 76 bowl eligible teams. By the way, some bowl eligible teams could be staying at home if upsets happen
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