JRsec
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RE: Early morning rumor: Big12 reaches out to UCF
(01-03-2018 04:30 AM)otown Wrote: (01-02-2018 11:43 PM)JRsec Wrote: (01-02-2018 02:10 PM)CardinalJim Wrote: (01-02-2018 12:42 PM)The Cutter of Bish Wrote: One of the most bleak things I read about UCF came via Reddit, and a lament about how UCF would lose any coach it had because of the current playoff set-up. That you can play for the sixth best conference, win it without blemish, and see yourself even barely within the NY6 equation because...the power structure doesn't want you in it. Who wants to stay in that structure? How do you recruit kids to play at a place that, no matter how **** good you are, you don't have a shot at the championship?
This really hit me in a bad way at a bad time...and the commentary was spot on. This is what has become of D-1 college football. And it's not worthy of my eyes anymore. Others can enjoy these 4-5 hour amateurish scraps. My tastes have refined a bit.
Either expand the playoff, or expand the power structure. As is, no. I'm done. I'm simply tired of this "system." It sucks.
This was my point when Louisville was in CUSA begging to joining The Big East, in The Big East begging to join The Big 12 and remains my point with Louisville safely in The ACC.
Create an equitable system that makes it possible for every conference champion to play for a national title or shut it down and we know that ain't happening.
"Everyone" and by everyone I mean marketing, said well at least the all the P5 had a shot every year. That hasn't even happened. The Big 12 hasn't won a play-off game and has been left out all together 2 of the 4 years the CFP has been in place. The PAC hasn't done much better. They have only made two play-offs and has only won 1 game.
My point is, if The Big 12, PAC, and this year The Big Ten, can't make the make the CFP, what real chance does The American or MWC have?
The system needs to change.
CJ
Jim, the FBS needs probably 3 tiers and the FCS needs to go away. The tiers need to be defined by Athletic Endowments, Athletic investment, requisite number of sports offered, facilities sizes and standards, enrollment. Tiers don't have to be determined strictly by each one of these standards being met (other than number of sports offered and facilities) but do need to mostly reach the acceptable minimums for each.
Championship formats need to be established for each tier. This occurs throughout high school competition and was once better defined by the NCAA. But the plethora of smaller schools wanting to get their nose in the NCAA basketball tournament trough and to get a bit of the TV pie for football starting crashing the gate in the mid 80's and continue to do so even though higher education has peaked.
It is yet another reason that the NCAA is pretty useless these days. With established minimums schools who are serious about their investment in athletics have attainable metrics that insure that their inclusion in an upper division is not an investment lightly undertaken and therefore they have a right to pursue inclusion. I have little doubt that USF and UCF would be able to meet such metrics with a little more push. Attendance minimums would probably be the biggest obstacle but if you establish a minimum of 50,000 I think they could meet it.
The problem are evident when observing the Gross Total Revenue numbers. If the upper tier required a minimum of $70,000,000 it would have around 56 schools and of all of the present G5 only UConn would get in. The lowest revenue producers in the P5 right now are Georgia Tech and Wake Forest both of which are around 66 million in total revenue. Considering that A&M hit around 191 million and Texas is nipping at their heels and something like 10 or 11 SEC schools all made over 100 million you begin to get the picture. The playing field simply isn't level, but then neither are the facilities, the travel modes (air vs bus) etc.
If the aim is fair competition then segregating the schools by investment, facilities, earnings, enrollment, etc., is essential for the protection of the athletes and for any semblance of fair play. The problem is that every mouse dreams of roaring and that goes for alumni as well.
Sure the current CFP meets ESPN's criteria, they helped to create it. They want ratings and ratings are in some measure determined by living alumni, and what they can invest in their schools. So no, it's not about fair play, it's about ratings. Let the NCAA break into fairer and discernible divisions of play and let them shape the playoffs and they will have for once done their job. And if not them a new entity tasked with solving today's problems, and not protecting the Olympic rules on amateurism set up around the turn of the 19th century.
I agree for the most part. However, you have to understand that it is almost impossible for a G5 to meet those metrics without the P5 crutch of having home games vs Florida, Michigan, OSU, etc etc. That fills the stadiums, draws the interest, and expands the brand along with donations. We are not even talking about the windfall of media money that can be used to enhance facilities.
Some programs, like UCF, have done so much with so little. In fact, they have their own crutch which is simply the size of their student body that they can use as a subsidy. 60,000 plus. Due to this, the student fees can be less then other schools, but generate a lot more money...... but invest they did. It's starting to show with the whole athletic village. It's not a secret the UF is jealous of UCFs facilities. Yes, UF has a much nicer stadium........ but UF keeps on getting promised an upgraded football operations facility. They have the plans, but keep delaying it. Shows UCF is serious about investing in their facilities.
So in short, there is no way to reach that $70,000,000 revenue point without a subsidy. However, one must ask if a top G5 would sell out their stadium consistently playing a B1G slate or SEC slate? I think it's fair to say the top G5s would have no problem. Hell, UCF raised close to 7.5 million in donations to the football excellence fund in 3 months simply off the back of one coach.
Replace, UCF with Houston, USF, Cindy, Memphis and you get a similar outcome.
Oh, but there is one. In 20 years time Boomers will pretty much be gone. When that happens UCF will have as many living alumni, or more, than any school in the state of Florida. That will get political structure of the state behind a push for inclusion, and the networks will listen and therefore the conferences will too.
The biggest obstacle that the largest G5's have faced is the decades of alums generated by the older larger schools. That demographic levels out in 20 years. Why do you think so many P5 schools are lowering entrance requirements and subsidizing scholarships for enrollment? They already know this.
USF and UCF are the best bets for inclusion in the P5 within the next 10 years as conferences ponder their 10 year plans and look at the population growth areas. Houston is another one likely to be included at some point. The only thing UCF and USF need to continue to do is work on their academic standing. Orlando and Tampa are both poised geographically to be extremely relevant moving forward.
The only thing that could stand in your way is a rise in sea levels, seriously. But that's probably not going to be a huge factor for about 100 years.
(This post was last modified: 01-03-2018 02:08 PM by JRsec.)
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