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RPI after games 1/28
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TU4ever Offline
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Post: #1
RPI after games 1/28
RPI............Team....................Record
16..............Cincinnati............19-2 (8-0)
23..............Wichita................17-4 (7-2)
44..............Temple................11-10 (3-6)
49..............Houston.............. 16-4 (6-2)
61..............SMU.....................15-7 (5-4)
71..............UCF......................13-7 (4-4)
80..............UConn..................11-10 (4-5)
113............Memphis.............13-8 (4-4)
120............Tulsa....................11-10 (4-4)
128............Tulane..................12-8 (3-5)
270............USF.......................14-8 (1-8)
274............ECU......................8-14 (2-7)

4 top 50
7 top 100

Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home below 30, away below 70, neutral below 50):

Home: 2
Away: 5
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (Home below 70, away below 120, neutral 100):

Home: 6
Away: 9
Neutral: 7

Bad losses are ECU and USF.

Tulane has moved out of the good road games category. SMU is just outside the bubble. UCF is borderline tier 1.

NCAA lock, Cincy and WSU
NCAA probable, Houston.
NCAA maybe, SMU
NCAA possible, Temple and UCF
NIT possible, UConn and Memphis
Outside looking in, Tulane and Tulsa
No chance, USF and ECU
01-29-2018 12:38 PM
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CougarRed Offline
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Post: #2
RE: RPI after games 1/28
ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:

11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa
01-29-2018 02:25 PM
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TU4ever Offline
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RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 02:25 PM)CougarRed Wrote:  ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:

11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa


Can't say I am surprised a site related to espn said an ESPN metric is the best?

The committee uses RPI, that's why I post it..
01-29-2018 03:30 PM
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stever20 Offline
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RE: RPI after games 1/28
tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)

SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):

Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):

Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)

Bad losses are ECU and USF.
01-29-2018 03:35 PM
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Huskypride Offline
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Post: #5
RE: RPI after games 1/28
D1
11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa







D3
1 UCan't...
01-29-2018 06:48 PM
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TheBigEastSucks Offline
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RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote:  tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)

SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):

Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):

Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)

Bad losses are ECU and USF.

Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover
01-29-2018 07:20 PM
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TU4ever Offline
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Post: #7
RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote:  tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)

SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):

Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):

Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)

Bad losses are ECU and USF.

Thanks for the correction. Looks even better 04-cheers
01-29-2018 08:05 PM
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TU4ever Offline
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RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 07:20 PM)TheBigEastSucks Wrote:  
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote:  tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)

SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):

Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):

Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)

Bad losses are ECU and USF.

Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover

True, but it's not my call. The harsh committee gives no quarter.
01-29-2018 08:06 PM
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billybobby777 Offline
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Post: #9
RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 02:25 PM)CougarRed Wrote:  ESPN Strength of Record is the most predictive of the committee per Five Thirty-Eight:

11 Cincy
28 Wichita St
40 Houston
69 Temple
76 UCF
79 SMU
88 UConn
93 Memphis
124 Tulane
138 Tulsa

If this is true, there will only be 2 AAC teams in the tourney as a non ESPN 5 team can't be 40 plus & dance.
01-29-2018 08:36 PM
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TripleA Online
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Post: #10
RE: RPI after games 1/28
Still looking like 2, maybe 3, to the NCAAT, and 2 more, at best, to the NIT.
01-29-2018 09:56 PM
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CougarRed Offline
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Post: #11
RE: RPI after games 1/28
Projected RPI

7 Cincy
14 Wichita St
42 Houston
50 SMU
57 Temple
68 UCF
86 UConn
123 Memphis
129 Tulsa
133 Tulane

http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html

Massey Composite

7 Cincy
19 Wichita St
40 Houston
48 SMU
81 Temple
84 UCF
121 Tulsa
122 UConn
125 Memphis
134 Tulane

https://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
(This post was last modified: 01-30-2018 07:34 AM by CougarRed.)
01-30-2018 07:23 AM
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TU4ever Offline
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RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-30-2018 07:23 AM)CougarRed Wrote:  Projected RPI

7 Cincy
14 Wichita St
42 Houston
50 SMU
57 Temple
68 UCF
86 UConn
123 Memphis
129 Tulsa
133 Tulane

http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html

Massey Composite

7 Cincy
19 Wichita St
40 Houston
48 SMU
81 Temple
84 UCF
121 Tulsa
122 UConn
125 Memphis
134 Tulane

https://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm

If predicted RPI is accurate we have 3 bids (Cincy, WSU, and Houston), 1 strong bubble (SMU), 1 weak bubble (Temple) and probably 1- 2 nit teams (UCF and UConn).

A side note every road game but ECU and USF would be tier 2 at least. 5 of those 10 would be tier 1. 2 of those 5 are tier 1 no matter where you play. Houston and SMU will be a tier 1 victory in the conference tourny.
01-30-2018 12:24 PM
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ultraviolet Offline
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Post: #13
RE: RPI after games 1/28
(01-29-2018 08:06 PM)TU4ever Wrote:  
(01-29-2018 07:20 PM)TheBigEastSucks Wrote:  
(01-29-2018 03:35 PM)stever20 Wrote:  tier 1 wins are road ones 1-75. So UCF does count as a tier 1 win on the road.
tier 2 wins are home ones 31-75 (so adding UCF), and road ones 76-135(so adding Tulane)

SO
Possible Tier 1 win teams (Home 1-30, away 1-75, neutral 1-50):

Home: 2
Away: 6
Neutral: 4

Possible Tier 2 win teams (31-75, away 76-135 neutral 51-100):

Home: 4(6 total tier 1/2)
Away: 4(10 total tier 1/2)
Neutral: 3(7 total tier 1/2)

Bad losses are ECU and USF.

Not really fair to rag on ECU, we lost a hall of fame great in jeff Lebo. How we will ever recover

True, but it's not my call. The harsh committee gives no quarter.

They've always been unfair to ECU. I wish.
02-02-2018 02:54 PM
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