What if ESPN doesn't care to boost their ACC investment?
And what I mean by that can be summed up in 3 points:
-Maybe it's more economical to keep the ACC making what they're making and hope the ACC Network performs decently.
-Maybe the Big 12 pieces could be realigned in such a way that still augment 2 leagues for the purpose of creating better content.
-Perhaps it would be more economical to position the SEC for the future while keeping the network's options open with regard to what content could be procured and/or what leagues might be available for reorganizing in the next generation.
I think ESPN will be interested in helping advance the SEC's cause because it's their tentpole college property and the SEC Network has been very successful.
I do think, however, that it may be necessary to go to 20 because the SEC will be on an island when it comes to being interested in changing the rule structure in order to allow for 3 divisions. That and ESPN may need some help securing key properties for their broader plan.
Texas and Oklahoma are the prizes. It may be necessary to take Texas Tech and Oklahoma State as well in order to secure those moves. The two other schools that I think ESPN would be most interested in securing would be West Virginia and Kansas. Both of those should pay dividends in a world where individual viewers matter more than particular markets. The SEC takes those 6.
West: Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas
Central: Texas A&M, LSU, Arkansas, Missouri, Ole Miss
South: Mississippi State, Alabama, Auburn, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
East: Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, West Virginia
As far as divisional alignment goes, these wouldn't represent 4 divisions...just pods. You could play 11 conference games in this structure and maintain a simple divisional structure...the winners of 2 matched pods meet in Atlanta. The 4 from your own pod are annual, then a permanent rival from each of the other 3, and the final 4 schools from one of the other pods in a given season.
Now, it's time to rebuild the Big 12. Why? The brand value of a Power league will help elevate the ratings for the additions so that the league won't lose as much cache.
I don't think we're quite to the point where a P4 model can take over because there's so much uncertainty in the marketplace. The CFP contract will run for several more years and I think there will be significant hurdles in creating a champs-only model even when that contract ends. That and the 5th Power league allows for some additional drama in the CFP race. If nothing else, it creates the opportunity for a Cinderella story which college fans seem to love more than just about anything.
Legacy members: TCU, Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State
New members: BYU, Houston, SMU, UCF, USF, Memphis, Cincinnati, UConn, Temple, East Carolina, and Wichita State as a non-football member.
That's a solid 14 + 1 that will have somewhat decent money and decent content. That could be very beneficial to ESPN's coffers as no further investment in the ACC would be required while the Big 12 would likely be wholly owned by the network.
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