(06-24-2019 11:35 AM)EagleNationRising Wrote: I honestly still think that there is some monetary benefits for the move. It hasn’t been spoken aloud yet, but I’m sure it’s there.
Sure, I haven't run through them yet, but the Big East is likely to begin receiving as much money via TV and NCAA Tourney distributions than UConn would get from the CFB Playoff pool (and that's even with the AAC getting the Access Bowl) with fewer expenses as a result of most Big East schools not playing football at all. Getting to re-establish traditional basketball rivalries is just icing on the cake.
The better question isn't why. There is obviously a number of reasons and no single factor that contributed to the decision, but the better question is what does it mean for the AAC. And then the rest of the G5 writ large.
There probably isn't a single school the AAC can add to replace UCONN in terms of market, basketball, and academic pedigree. The biggest thing that the AAC is losing is the New York media market by this move. So, what's the impact in the new TV deal? That's going to have significant impact. How much? Who knows. So, the question is would either the addition of Army as football only member or Buffalo provide enough equity to make up for that loss. The answer is probably no, but those are really your only two options to stay in New York. And Buffalo is a stretch, because that's upstate and not NYC.
So, that leaves the AAC looking elsewhere to keep from getting hammered on the TV deal. NIU could be in play to try to bring the Chicago market in play as an offset to losing NY. But again that's not likely to be enough.
Regardless of the internal politics, decision making, and value or lack thereof to football at UConn this is not a good look for the AAC. IMO, this is the first time they've looked vulnerable. And if we read between the tea leaves, UConn's decision wasn't just a here and now moment type decision. There is something on the horizon that - IMO - demonstrates the first crack in the foundation of the AAC. That said, that league is still better off than we are, but it's a sign of things to come. And as someone who has studied this topic and was intimately involved in what happened in the first two rounds of the realignment/expansion/contraction or whatever you want to call it I see something bigger behind this. This isn't just a one-off move. This is going to be felt by all of us down the line in some form or fashion. It may take a couple of years, but there is more to this than just UConn wanting to be basketball buds again with Villanova and St. Johns.