RE: $5, 15 Minute COVID Test Approved
The death rate from COVID-19 in people who are aged 25 or less is vanishing small. Not 0. But very small. And, as I’ve said, from a public health standpoint, that fact is irrelevant to the threat it poses to our nation.
As the virus spreads, it ultimately reaches groups of older people. And if you are in the 45+ aged range your chance of hospitalization is around 20%. And if you’re hospitalized your chance of going to the ICU is around 20%. If you are sick enough to be placed in the ICU your chance of dying from COVID-19 is very high. Initially, it was about 80%. It’s lower now with some newer treatments (maybe remdesivir, steroids, convalescent plasma, anticoagulation, etc etc) ..but is still probably over 50%. These hospitalized patients.. overwhelmingly older... are the problem. Because they use huge amounts of resources...ventilators, meds, PPEs, specialized nursing, etc. In areas where the virus is spreading rapidly there is a potential to drown the local medical/ hospital system..it’s already happened in multiple places: Italy, Spain, Brazil, NYC, Detroit, Miami, Phoenix, NOLA etc etc.
Asymptomatic spread is a major vector in the spread of this virus to all age groups. In at least 3 recently reported studies the incidence of people with no symptoms or minimal symptoms )but positive COVID tests) was around 40%. These asymptomatic people are circulating in all areas of society, offices, hospitals, universities, etc. And spreading the virus to vulnerable people. Older people. Younger people with serious pre-existing conditions.
I’m going to share a personal story that will better illustrate my point. A personal story because I don’t want to necessarily push any other agenda.
My mother is 92 and has lived in a Sr Care Center for 3 years. Early on in the pandemic (March), the Center instituted a lock down. No visitors of any type. Strict hygiene procedures. New residents screened, tested and initially quarantined. This approach was VERY effective. No illness. No symptoms. No hospitalizations...for months. Then, a week or so after July 4, 4 residents got sick with COVID. ?? How did this happen? The residents never left. But, after investigating, re-testing everybody, and doing contact tracing, it turns out that one of the staff (who tested positive) had a July 4 party. Attended by multiple family members, several of whom tested positive for COVID. Asymptomatic.
Even after further lockdown and quarantine 4 other residents were hospitalized. 2 died.
This is a very difficult time for everybody. Everybody wants to get back to some semblance of normal life. Football. School. Restaurants. Vacation. And visiting our vulnerable relatives and friends. I am really glad that I’m not a University official in charge of making the decision to have in person classes, or sports.
I totally respect anyone’s opinion who disagrees with me, but, to me, the science is pretty clear. And if we don’t have fall sports this year, I’m OK with that decision.
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