(10-16-2022 09:47 PM)Side.Show.Joe Wrote: UTSA 5-2
UAB 4-2
UNT 4-3
Rice 3-3
FAU 3-4
Charlotte 1-5
All 6 have now played at least half of their schedule. So AAC fans, which C-USA6 programs are out preforming your expectations, and which are underachieving based on what you expected them to do this season. Give them a grade A through F. Just wondering how expectations and perceptions may have changed now that games have been played. I hope to read some constructive comments from our future AAC conference-mates. Thanks.
The CUSA6, as a group, have outperformed expectations this season, and that's a very welcome sign.
Not sure how to grade them - - should we grade their progress over the past two years, or their W-L record?
......................program...........current...........2022
......................progress:.......W-L record.....bowl team?
UTSA 5-2...............A......................A-...............lock
UAB 4-2.................B......................B+..........near-lock
UNT 4-3.................B......................B.............possible
Rice 3-3.................A......................B.............possible
FAU 3-4.................C......................B-............possible
UNCC 1-5..............C-.....................C-.............unlikely
Average:...............B (good)............B (good)
Another way to gauge their progress is to estimate how many bowl teams there will be among them this year. According to Massey's ratings, there are likely to be 3 or 4 bowl teams from this group.
UTSA and UAB are expected to qualify for bowl games. In addition, 1 or 2* of these 3 teams are predicted by Massey to play in bowl games: UNT, Rice, FAU.
At minimum, that's the same as the % of bowl teams that the AAC remainers are likely to have.
. . . . . . .
*
Key games:
11/19: FAU @ MTSU (FAU is favored to beat UTEP & FIU)
11/26: UNT @ Rice (UNT & Rice are both favored to have 5 wins before 11/26)