(02-13-2018 04:45 PM)Wilkie01 Wrote:  

(02-13-2018 02:28 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote:  

(02-13-2018 02:17 PM)ken d Wrote:  

(02-13-2018 02:00 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote:  

(02-04-2018 12:56 PM)ken d Wrote:  That makes a pretty good G5 conference. Who is the survivor conferene here - the Big 12 or the AAC?

This 16-team setup is for the Big 12. In this scenario, the only remaining AAC schools are Temple and Tulsa. I doubt they stick together. Maybe they play rock-paper-scissors over who gets to keep the conference name.

More seriously, survival of the AAC even in some lesser form would depend on how this all would go down. If it happened over a few years rather than all at once, then the AAC might rebuild in the same way it did when evolving from the Big East.

Wouldn't you agree that the B12 becomes G5 at this point, and that there would be only 4 power conferences?

Oh, of course, or G6 perhaps. Definitely not a power conference with that lineup. But Cyniclone's scenario does meet the OP's overall goal of having all the current P5 conferences get to 16 teams in one manner or another.

If there is a move to P6, then it will be the American, who will add the other 4 best G5 teams to get to 16.

A move to a P6 is exceedingly improbable. It would involve a breakdown of most of the existing P5 conferences and likely result in the fragmentation of the American as well. As is, if the American were to add 4 other G5 teams, it will not improve its status relative to the P5 but more likely weaken it.

The only way the American will survive the next round of realignment even somewhat intact is if the Big 12 is dissolved. Since it seems increasingly unlikely that all the current Big 12 teams will find homes in the other power conferences, whoever goes down with the Big 12 ship will gut the American in the process.