I posted this in another thread, but I think CUSA and the SBC are the only ones that have anything to gain by reorganizing. I think the AAC would lose out by reorganizing with the SBC and CUSA.

The only way a mass reshuffle of teams were to be possible between CUSA and the SBC is if the BIG12 added 6 teams out of the AAC, and the AAC backfilled with a combination of teams from CUSA and the Sun Belt. Then spots would be open in both conferences and any outliers of each conference could decide if joining the other conference would be better for them.

Just as a hypothetical and not how I think it would actually go down:

BIG12 adds: UCF, USF, Houston, Memphis, Cincy, and Navy

AAC backfills with: UTSA, North Texas, FAU, Arkansas State, Ga State, and ODU

Remaining 10 schools in CUSA: UTEP, Rice, La Tech, USM, UAB, WKU, MT, Marshall, UNCC, FIU

Remaining 8 schools in SBC: TXST, ULM, ULL, South Alabama, Troy, Ga Southern, App, CCU

Marshall, UNCC, MT, and FIU bolt for the SBC while TXST, ULM, and ULL bolt for CUSA.

NMSU joins CUSA to make 10 teams while JMU or Liberty joins the SBC to make 10 teams. Both conferences are then pretty regional.

Again, not how I actually expect it to go down.