Back to PA-18. We have an new poll out. http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/377...l-election

I still think Saccone wins in a squeaker. I think this poll is a slightly too favorable to the Dems based on the fact that its cell phone only (many older voters - who tend to be overwhelmingly Republican only have land lines). But reportedly, many GOP internal polls are showing a similar result. Trump will be travelling to the district this weekend. Who knows what he will promise? My guess is that whatever he does will likely be at best a wash.

The Economist is reporting that the GOP has outspent the Dems by 11 to 1 in that district. In a Trump +20, Coal and Steel heavy, largely white district? How could the GOP lose this seat? On paper its not possible that this would be even close. But the election result will likely be close.