What would be the acceptable back up plans of the other P4 conferences if any of these scenarios happened. And please limit the movements to take each P conference to no more than 16 teams. And there shall be no partials and there shall be only 4 conferences:

(A.) Texas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State move to the PAC:

(B.) Oklahoma and Kansas move to the Big 10:

(C.) Oklahoma and Oklahoma State move to the SEC:


(A.) SEC: I think that without Oklahoma that the Big 10 would not find enough value in Kansas to take them. The SEC however might see an opportunity to still cover some bases to the West by adding T.C.U. and Kansas. Kansas nails down the boundary extension from Kentucky through Kansas. T.C.U. gives us another Texas school but also a presence in the DFW area.

Big 10: Would stay at 14 at wait to see if Eastern targets become available in 2035-7.

ACC: Would have an opportunity to snag WVU. They do and Notre Dame to help secure the ACC North goes all in.



(B.) SEC: The SEC would make a play for Texas and whoever they desired to bring. If this fails we do nothing.


ACC: Makes an attempt to lure Texas and settles for West Virginia. Notre Dame may or may not go all in for this.

PAC: Makes a play for Texas, Texas Tech, T.C.U. and another (Kansas State/Iowa State). If they fail they do nothing.



©: Big 10: Makes a play for Texas and Kansas. If it fails they do nothing.

ACC: Makes a play for Texas and if it fails they take West Virginia.

PAC 12: Makes a play for Texas, Texas Tech, Kansas, and Kansas State. If it fails they do nothing.



Conclusion: West Virginia is an excellent fallback position for the ACC no matter the circumstance.

There isn't enough in the Big 12 for contingencies to be successful for everyone. There are truly scenarios where it is preferable to do nothing.

For the PAC it's Texa-homa or Texas two / Kansas two or nothing.


So it seems to me that somebody is much more likely to hit a home run with a multiple school grab here. So perhaps 16 is unrealistic. Perhaps it is more likely that either the PAC / SEC / or Big 10 score a huge get with Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and a 4th. Or perhaps the SEC/ACC absorption of the Big 12 is truly a more likely outcome.