(01-31-2018 10:23 AM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote:  

(01-31-2018 10:09 AM)WKUFan518 Wrote:  

(01-31-2018 09:41 AM)CincyDave Wrote:  The current problem for WKU, assuming we win out (other than maybe a loss to MTSU again) is the Ohio loss. That loss looks worse and worse everyday. Missouri State and Wisconsin losses also don't look very good.

Every team in the nation has multiple "bad losses" this season besides maybe 1-3 teams....Plus those two losses were without 2 players which with Power conf. teams they give them a benefit of the doubt, for us probably not but its an angle to play....Either or we need to worry about ourselves taking care of business on what we control....We win every game rest of the season and tournament we don't have to worry about it, if we lose 1 or 2 games along the way we will be sweating regardless what Ohio, Missouri St, Austin Peay, etc does....Remember RPI is just one metric used, no telling what they actually use in that room...I am sure it varies depending on what conference you are from and the politics of the day...

MT doesn't have any bad losses yet. Emphasis on yet.

But as you indicate it is very easy for a team to take a night off on a game they should win easily that looks bad at selection time. We lost three games to Auburn, USC and Miami by an average of a little over three points. We lost the USC and Miami games in the waning seconds. Either of those two we could have won - the ball just didn't bounce our way late. Had we gotten either of those we would be in much better shape.

Here is what I believe based on the direction and trend that the NCAA is moving towards. If we could be 30-4 with an RPI in the low 30s and not get an NCAA bid (which is exactly what would have happened last year) there is very little chance either one of us are getting an at large this year. Either MT or wkcc will have to win out and lose the championship game of the tournament. That's about the only scenario I can see either of us getting an at large.

Might be true, but this season the Pac 12 hardly has any tournament worthy teams and the A-10 has had a very down season also....Even Big 10 doesn't have any strong teams past top 5...