(02-07-2018 11:37 AM)Wedge Wrote:  

(02-07-2018 11:22 AM)Attackcoog Wrote:  I fully expect the numbers would likely balance.

That's very unlikely. Players are only going to move "up" if two things are true: The player is really good and he has a rock-solid starting opportunity on the new team. A star QB who is setting records at Fresno State isn't going to move to USC for just "a chance" to compete against the two or three elite QBs they already have; if he's that good then he is already a top NFL draft prospect and won't risk becoming a backup at USC. That QB is only going to consider moving if it's a situation like Oregon a few years ago, where the Ducks got caught with no good QBs on the roster and brought in Vernon Adams as a graduate transfer.

Players with that ideal "move-up" situation will be vastly outnumbered by players who are buried on the depth chart at Alabama or Ohio State, or some other program where they stack up 4-star and 5-star players, and who realize after a year or two that they will get far more playing time elsewhere.

Maybe. The "star" G5 QB will move if the P5 QB's at 'Bama are busts. Remember, this isnt a draft. The G5 QB is going to move to a P5 where there is void at QB--preferably a team that is just a QB away from being really good. Its basically going to resemble free agency in the pro game--except you cant use salary increases to attract or retain a prospect. I honestly think this will be really bad for G5's that lose a coach. Think about it--its basically going to affect G5's almost as badly as NCAA sanctions. Its basically like losing a coahc and a bunch of schollies.