(02-08-2018 08:26 AM)odu09 Wrote:  

(02-08-2018 08:04 AM)AdoptedMonarch Wrote:  Two early lines surprise me just a bit: La. Tech by 13.5 over Charlotte and UAB by 10 over UNT.

I think that the home teams will win in both of these games, but I would have guessed the spreads to be half of what they are.

I'm not too shocked by the LT vs Charlotte line. Charlotte is a dumpster fire (no offense to anyone) and I'm still convinced LT is a much better team than their record.

UAB by 10 over UNT feels strong though.

ODU is favored by 6 at USM. They haven't lost at home yet, but their home opponents are, as I copy/paste from Aggie:

OOC
11/10/17 vs. SUNO (RPI 240)
11/20/17 vs. Blue Mountain (????)
12/03/17 vs. Rust (????)
12/10/17 vs. Troy (RPI 223)
12/16/17 vs. William Carey (????)

CUSA
01/04/18 vs. UTEP (RPI 305)
01/06/18 vs. UTSA (RPI 200)
01/18/18 vs. Rice (RPI 333)
01/20/18 vs. North Texas (RPI 210)

So the -6 feels pretty low. But then again I don't bet on ODU otherwise I would have a mild heart attack followed by medium-rare depression. Plus there's no way for me to watch, which would make it even worse. Sorry to make this all about me. Look at me.

Under Doc here are our CUSA home/away records in his 4th year:

2014-15
3-6 at home
1-8 on the road

2015-16
4-5 at home
1-8 on the road

2016-17
5-4 at home
1-8 on the road

2017-18
4-0 at home
1-6 on the road
**we have 5 home games and 2 road games still to play this season**

captain obvious says we've won our 1 road game this year so our games at UTEP and UTSA "will be" losses. Remaining home games are ODU, Charlotte, MT, UAB and LT so if trends continue we "should" go 2-3 as our home win total has gone up 1 a year. Granted this isn't a guarantee but still interesting trends