(03-13-2018 09:42 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote:  Turnout was good but not record-setting BTW. Murphy, running unopposed in 2016, got 293K votes in 2016. Tonight, we're at 215K votes with maybe 4K votes left to go? Not bad numbers for a special election, but this one had a lot of money and publicity so not record-shattering either.

I would guess that the Dems are getting Presidential level turnout and the GOP is getting midterm or worse level turnout. Which would be pretty consistent with what we've seen elsewhere. I think the best way to look at it would be to compare vote turnout in a random state race in 2014 (say some downballot race - like a judicial seat - these generally can be safely seen as a proxy for partisan turnout) and compare it to this election turnout. The problem is that you'd need to have the details on that race by CD. Someone will be doing that analysis, but we won't see it tonight.