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Bowl Projections, Week 13
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chargeradio Offline
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Post: #1
Bowl Projections, Week 13
New Mexico - Air Force vs. Temple
Potato - Toledo vs. Louisiana Tech
New Orleans - Western Michigan vs. Louisiana
Beef 'O' Brady's - FIU vs. Pittsburgh
Poinsettia - San Diego State vs. Nevada
Las Vegas - TCU vs. Ball State
Hawaii - Utah State vs. Tulsa
Independence - Wyoming vs. North Carolina State
Pizza - Purdue vs. Ohio
Belk - Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
Military - Wake Forest vs. Northwestern
Holiday - Texas vs. California
Champs Sports - Clemson vs. Notre Dame
Alamo - Oklahoma vs. Washington
Armed Forces - BYU vs. SMU
Pinstripe - Missouri vs. Rutgers
Music City - North Carolina vs. Mississippi State
Insight - Baylor vs. Nebraska
Texas - Texas A&M vs. Iowa
Sun - Virginia vs. Utah
Liberty - Southern Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt
Fight Hunger - Illinois vs. Iowa State
Chick-Fil-A - Auburn vs. Florida State
TicketCity - Ohio State vs. Marshall
Outback - Michigan State vs. Arkansas
Capital One - Michigan vs. Georgia
Gator - Penn State vs. Florida
Cotton - Kansas State vs. South Carolina
Compass - Cincinnati vs. Western Kentucky
GoDaddy - Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Rose - Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Fiesta - Oklahoma State vs. Houston
Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia
Orange - Virginia Tech vs. Boise State
BCS - LSU vs. Alabama

Right now I project the only bowl eligble team that won't be bowling is Miami (FL), which is self-imposing a bowl ban ahead of formal sanctions from the NCAA. There are four potential flies in the ointment:

Hawaii - The Warriors need a win over BYU, which would could send Louisiana Tech or Utah State eastward-the WAC champion is formally tied to the Potato Bowl, but the WAC could send Louisiana Tech to New Orleans if the New Orleans Bowl would prefer them over a MAC team.

UCLA - UCLA is projected to lose the Pac 12 Championship Game to Oregon and finish at 6-7. UCLA would need a waiver from the NCAA to participate in a bowl game, but the NCAA may not give that to them. If UCLA doesn't get the waiver, it could leave as many as 3 bowl slots open.

Connecticut - UConn needs a win over Cincinnati to finish 6-6. Since Notre Dame can take up a Big East bowl, 1-2 of Connecticut, the winner of the Pittsburgh/Syracuse game, or even South Florida could be in the at-large pool.

South Floria - The Bulls need a win over #23 West Virginia. If USF pulls it off, the Big East champion would be unranked for the second year in the row.
11-27-2011 10:03 PM
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Lucy Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-27-2011 10:03 PM)chargeradio Wrote:  New Mexico - Air Force vs. Temple
Potato - Toledo vs. Louisiana Tech
New Orleans - Western Michigan vs. Louisiana
Beef 'O' Brady's - FIU vs. Pittsburgh
Poinsettia - San Diego State vs. Nevada
Las Vegas - TCU vs. Ball State
Hawaii - Utah State vs. Tulsa
Independence - Wyoming vs. North Carolina State
Pizza - Purdue vs. Ohio
Belk - Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
Military - Wake Forest vs. Northwestern
Holiday - Texas vs. California
Champs Sports - Clemson vs. Notre Dame
Alamo - Oklahoma vs. Washington
Armed Forces - BYU vs. SMU
Pinstripe - Missouri vs. Rutgers
Music City - North Carolina vs. Mississippi State
Insight - Baylor vs. Nebraska
Texas - Texas A&M vs. Iowa
Sun - Virginia vs. Utah
Liberty - Southern Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt
Fight Hunger - Illinois vs. Iowa State
Chick-Fil-A - Auburn vs. Florida State
TicketCity - Ohio State vs. Marshall
Outback - Michigan State vs. Arkansas
Capital One - Michigan vs. Georgia
Gator - Penn State vs. Florida
Cotton - Kansas State vs. South Carolina
Compass - Cincinnati vs. Western Kentucky
GoDaddy - Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State
Rose - Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Fiesta - Oklahoma State vs. Houston
Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia
Orange - Virginia Tech vs. Boise State
BCS - LSU vs. Alabama

Right now I project the only bowl eligble team that won't be bowling is Miami (FL), which is self-imposing a bowl ban ahead of formal sanctions from the NCAA. There are four potential flies in the ointment:

Hawaii - The Warriors need a win over BYU, which would could send Louisiana Tech or Utah State eastward-the WAC champion is formally tied to the Potato Bowl, but the WAC could send Louisiana Tech to New Orleans if the New Orleans Bowl would prefer them over a MAC team.

UCLA - UCLA is projected to lose the Pac 12 Championship Game to Oregon and finish at 6-7. UCLA would need a waiver from the NCAA to participate in a bowl game, but the NCAA may not give that to them. If UCLA doesn't get the waiver, it could leave as many as 3 bowl slots open.

Connecticut - UConn needs a win over Cincinnati to finish 6-6. Since Notre Dame can take up a Big East bowl, 1-2 of Connecticut, the winner of the Pittsburgh/Syracuse game, or even South Florida could be in the at-large pool.

South Floria - The Bulls need a win over #23 West Virginia. If USF pulls it off, the Big East champion would be unranked for the second year in the row.

Are you an idiot or just stupid? If you're going to make predictions, at least know the rules that each conference has for their bowl selection.

As I told you last week, the ACC has a 1 Game Rule that states a bowl game can bypass a team in the selection process only if the two teams in question are within one game of each other in the overall ACC standings. UNC has the worst conference record amongst ACC bowl-eligible teams at 3-5. That means they cannot be selected ahead of the 5-3 ACC teams like GT, Virginia, and Wake Forest.

So if you want to save face and be taken even a wee bit seriously, accept the fact that UNC will be playing in the Military Bowl - the bowl that selects last in the ACC bowl pecking order.
11-27-2011 11:50 PM
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georgia_tech_swagger Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-27-2011 11:50 PM)Lucy Wrote:  Are you an idiot or just stupid? If you're going to make predictions, at least know the rules that each conference has for their bowl selection.

As I told you last week, the ACC has a 1 Game Rule that states a bowl game can bypass a team in the selection process only if the two teams in question are within one game of each other in the overall ACC standings. UNC has the worst conference record amongst ACC bowl-eligible teams at 3-5. That means they cannot be selected ahead of the 5-3 ACC teams like GT, Virginia, and Wake Forest.

So if you want to save face and be taken even a wee bit seriously, accept the fact that UNC will be playing in the Military Bowl - the bowl that selects last in the ACC bowl pecking order.


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11-28-2011 12:58 AM
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Rebel
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Post: #4
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
Quote:Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia

BE vs. Pac-10 in the Sugar? How does that happen?
11-28-2011 09:23 AM
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Lucy Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-28-2011 09:23 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
Quote:Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia

BE vs. Pac-10 in the Sugar? How does that happen?

He is assuming that LSU will win the SEC championship & be playing in the National Championship Game, therefore another automatic qualifier or at-large team would fill the SEC host slot.
11-28-2011 01:34 PM
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Rebel
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Post: #6
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-28-2011 01:34 PM)Lucy Wrote:  
(11-28-2011 09:23 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
Quote:Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia

BE vs. Pac-10 in the Sugar? How does that happen?

He is assuming that LSU will win the SEC championship & be playing in the National Championship Game, therefore another automatic qualifier or at-large team would fill the SEC host slot.

Arkansas wouldn't go if 'Bama and LSU go to the NC? Why would two SEC teams in the NC cancel out the SEC tie-in to the Sugar?
11-28-2011 02:06 PM
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bitcruncher Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-28-2011 09:23 AM)Rebel Wrote:  
Quote:Sugar - Stanford vs. West Virginia

BE vs. Pac-10 in the Sugar? How does that happen?
If LSU and Alabama end up in the BCS Championship game, 2 SEC teams will be taken up by that game. Stanford would come in as an at-large team, assuming the Sugar Bowl invites WVU over Boise...
11-28-2011 02:16 PM
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RaiderATO Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
(11-28-2011 02:06 PM)Rebel Wrote:  Arkansas wouldn't go if 'Bama and LSU go to the NC? Why would two SEC teams in the NC cancel out the SEC tie-in to the Sugar?

Because this BCS crap that the AQ conferences (SEC included) were soooo happy to put in place to help eliminate competition in the NCAA football market only allows a conference to send 2 teams to play in their games.

(The only way it could happen is if LSU loses to UGA, but still remains #2. UGA would be in Sugar as the SEC champ. LSU/Bama for MNC. No possible scenario that Arkansas gets into a BCS game.)
11-28-2011 02:53 PM
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chargeradio Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Bowl Projections, Week 13
The selection order for the BCS Bowls will be as follows, presuming the Sugar Bowl loses LSU to the national championship game:

1) Sugar (replacement pick for SEC Champion ranked #1) [Stanford - AQ as #4 in final BCS Standings]
2) Fiesta [Houston - highest ranked non-AQ Conference champion; Oklahoma State automatically assigned as the Big 12 champion]
3) Sugar [West Virginia - Big East champion]
4) Orange [Boise State as an at-large selection - Virginia Tech automatically assigned as the ACC champion]

If LSU wins the SEC, Alabama holds at #2, Houston wins Conference USA, and Stanford finishes as #3 or #4, there is only one true at-large slot. Arkansas is not eligible (third team in the SEC), so therefore Boise State would be the highest ranked team available. Georgia and South Carolina would also not be availble (fourth and fifth team in the SEC), which leaves the higher ranked of Kansas State/Oklahoma and Michigan State/Michigan.
11-28-2011 07:44 PM
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