I don't deny that its possible but the odds are it is unlikely. You and others sometime phrase it as if it is likely to happen, it is not.
The reason people are rationalizing that it might happen is because, unlike you, we have info on the incoming schools. All 3 of the incoming Big East schools have had significant jumps in recruiting. Louisville just got a prized quarterback, South Florida has one of the better recruiting classes in the nation, and Cincinnati just picked up a star running back and a big time quarterback. And this was without the benefit of the Big East save for a few situations. You're the only one claiming that Big East fans are saying that the new schools will "take their place". Nobody said they would, even the Big East schools and incoming schools. What we have said is that there will be more parity, and better balance in the conference and while there won't necessarily be a powerhouse outside of potentially West Virginia, the Big East will look better. Example, in the past Miami dominated and there might be another Top 25 team, but everyone looked at it as "Miami's" conference. Now, the new Big East will force schools to upgrade their football programs and instead of having one dominate program and a few decent programs, the Big East can put themselves in position to have one Top 10 or 12 program (West Virginia), potentially a second one, and 2 or 3 Top 25 programs. That IS possible, that's not wishful thinking. West Virginia, Pitt, Syracuse and Louisville have all been Top 25 programs in recent years. You can't replace Miami, but you can better your situation. A Big East without Miami might not be dominant, but it would be formidable. And it would look better. While it wouldn't be better, the Big East with a #10 West Virginia, #15 Louisville, #17 Pittsburgh and #23 Syracuse would look better then #1 Miami and maybe a #15 West Virginia even if the situation isn't better. I'd rather have a conference with more Top 25 teams then one that relies on one team. That is the Big East's fault, the Big East should have built Top 25 teams around Miami. Hopefully losing Miami will force Pitt and Syracuse to get back to their recent level so that the Big East can have a handful of Top 25 teams. Because that is the only way you're going to gain respect if you're the Big East. West Virginia and Louisville should be Top 25 teams this year and Pitt's schedule should allow them to sneak back into the Top 25, Syracuse has a chance to get back into the Top 25. Get 3 teams into the Top 25 (which is more then possible), and possibly a 4th and the Big East suddenly looks like a solid, balanced conference. That IS doable, because those schools have shown to be Top 25 caliber programs.
Here is what you are doing...
lets say the SWC breaks up in '94 and Houston, Rice, SMU and TCU decide to keep the league together and just replace the departing teams. Hummm, lets take North texas, Texas- El Paso, La tech and Tulsa.
We'll figure UTEP will become the next texas, UNT will become the next Texas A&M, La Tech will become texas tech and Tulsa will become Baylor (oh well) we might add Ark State and say they will become Arkansas.
Only one of these is likely to happen Baylor/Tulsa but Baylor wasn't good in the SWC anyway.
I'm just point out the amout of rationalizing you are doing. Its wishful thinking, not logic.
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