(10-11-2013 03:06 PM)JRsec Wrote: (10-11-2013 12:31 PM)Melky Cabrera Wrote: (10-11-2013 11:28 AM)USAFMEDIC Wrote: (10-11-2013 09:55 AM)bluesox Wrote: The key to the ACC life is the alliance of the 6 Virginia and North Carolina school's. IF those school's stick together its almost impossible to crack the acc. The sec could with overlap programs but that isn't who they want. Same thing with the big 10 and maybe pitt, syracuse, bc, etc. The only game changer that might have cracked the acc would be big 10 taking FSU. YEt, if the 6 pack of car/va school's still stuck together, the acc is fine even with fsu leaving...its really the 4 pack of uva, va tech, unc and duke. Those school's can build a nice eastern league post any sec or big 10 moves.
Sorry but those four don't make the ABC Game of the Week. Without Clemson and FSU, the conference is AAC #2...
Even without FSU and Clemson, the ACC still has currently ranked #8 Louisville and #13/14 Miami - both undefeated - as well as #24/25 VA Tech and their scheduling arrangement with Notre Dame, which figures into TV games. They also have the option of adding Cincinnati to replace any departing members, which has become almost a perennial top 25 team in the past 6 or 7 years. The key is Miami. If they can engineer a sustained resurgence of their program, the ACC has enough to remain a major player.
As much as football has been the driver in this, it's also impossible to have a conversation about the ACC without including their basketball which is both the best and the most lucrative in the country - especially with the additions of Louisville, Syracuse, etc. More than any other conference in the country, ACC basketball is a big time money and makes the conference as a whole highly desirable to any network.
Melky I understand your point, but there is other data to indicate otherwise. Top football attendance schools in the ACC: 1. Clemson, 2. Florida State, 3. Virginia Tech, and N.C. State is either 4th or 5th.
Most viewed football teams in the ACC: See the above list but include North Carolina. (Now this study was done before Syracuse and Pitt came on board but I don't think it will change the order too much at the top 4 or 5 positions.)
Most profitable athletic departments in the ACC. 1. Clemson, 2. North Carolina, 3. Duke, 4. Florida State, 5. Virginia Tech.
Now given that Virginia Tech's football fortunes sans F.S.U. and Clemson would be dire and that as a football first school that might incite them to leave also it is not unreasonable to say if a conference loses 3 of its top attendance leaders, profitable programs, and most watched programs that is likely to fall significantly behind in its earning potential. Now add to that the fact that the conference that picks those teams up will gain additional revenue and the income gap is widened yet further.
F.S.U. and Clemson are the lynch pins to cracking the ACC because they affect the bottom line more than any other duo. They will encourage programs like Virginia Tech and N.C. State to want to leave and even perhaps Georgia Tech. North Carolina and Virginia could simply stick around refill with lesser programs and recapitulate the mistakes of Texas, but the ACC would nevertheless only be a remnant of what it was athletically.
And one other point. If the aforementioned teams ever left even Miami would be on an island.
According to
The Business of College Sports, the following are the most profitable athletic departments in the ACC in the following order:
1. Notre Dame
2. Virginia
3. Virginia Tech
4. Louisville (to be admitted 2014)
5. Miami
6. Syracuse
7. North Carolina
8. Duke
9. Clemson
10. NC State
The rest are running at a loss with Florida State reportedly in the red as much as $16 million. It's Florida State's losses that have motivated it to consider conference affiliation elsewhere where they can increase their revenue stream. Their situation is much like Maryland's in that their business model is not working for them and much like Maryland, they were motivated to look elsewhere to change the situation.
This ranking was reported in March, 2012 regarding the 2010-11 academic year and can be found at:
http://businessofcollegesports.com/2012/...partments/
Different lists report different numbers from different years and from different sources. Many simply report raw revenues, ignoring the fact that revenues include subsidies from the universities themselves, thereby disguising their losses.
The losses of either Florida State of Clemson would be offset by the addition of Louisville. UConn is also out there and its addition would be the 11th program in the ACC that actually shows a profit.
I understand the impact of losing football attendance leaders like Clemson and Florida State. But the conference is immediately gaining a top football program, Louisville, to replace at least one of them with an overall athletic department that is much more profitable than either of them even without the benefit yet of the ACC revenue stream from its TV contract. I understand that they don't replace the attendance numbers yet but their success on the field means that the conference's standing doesn't take a hit.
I reiterate that the ACC is the one conference that cannot be analyzed simply on the basis of its football programs because its basketball programs are so much more profitable than anyone else's. This is only enhanced by the recent additions of Syracuse and Louisville (next year), two of college basketball's top ten most profitable programs according to Forbes.
BTW, where are all of these programs that want to leave following the defections of FSU and Clemson going to go?