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2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #1
2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
I'm going to make a score prediction contest, but not for brackets. Predictions for each game must be posted at least 5 minutes before the announced start time. It doesn't matter if you predict a day in one post for each game or one post total as long as each game is predicted in time. If you are worried about not predicting games in time, you can predict days in advance, but your predictions will be worth 5 less than the worst person's score if you are wrong about one or both teams in the game. The reason it is 5 less rather than a fixed amount is that the predictions have a maximum score of 100 but no minimum score. You can predict in advance and change your predictions as much as you want as long as each game is predicted in time. Here is how the predictions will be scored:

Start with 100
Subtract 3 points for each point you were off on the margin
Subtract 1 point for each point you were off on the combined score

Points off is treated identical in both directions. If a team wins by 4, predicting them to win by 1 and win by 7 get the same deduction from the first category.
If you predict Hofstra to win 80-75 and they win 81-70, you will get 78. If you don't understand how to calculate that example, tell me.

I predict:
James Madison 76, Drexel 75
Delaware 76, Elon 72
Towson 87, William & Mary 85
Hofstra 83, UNC Wilmington 78 (I hope Hofstra wins by more)

I posted this at http://www.flyingdutchmenfans.com/viewto...f=2&t=1580 and I'm combining both forums into one contest.
02-28-2018 07:27 PM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #2
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Drexel 72, James Madison 63
Delaware 71, Elon 60
W&M 80, Towson 65
Hofstra 87, UNC Wilmington 85
03-01-2018 01:15 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #3
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
JMU- 72
DU- 77

Delaware- 65
Elon- 72
03-01-2018 03:18 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #4
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
I predicted for two of tomorrow's games in my first post. I predict:

Charleston 81, Drexel 68
Northeastern 78, Delaware 67

Including here and FlyingDutchmenFans, seven people predicted. Here are the scores out of 200 points:

1. SomebodyToLove: 148
2. triplec2195: 146
3. Pride97: 130
4. EvanJ: 128
5. Wags: 126
6. HofstraMathew: 114
7. dan10: 104

The mean was exactly 128.
03-03-2018 10:59 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #5
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
DU 74, CofC 78
W&M 81, TU 70
UD 67, NU 83
HU 81, UNCW 83

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03-04-2018 08:17 AM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #6
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
CoC 69 Drexel 62
Northeastern 75 Delaware 72
03-04-2018 08:51 AM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #7
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Here are the scores from Charleston vs. Drexel:

1. SomebodyToLove: 94
2. HofstraMathew: 70
3. triplec2195: 66
Tied 4. dan10: 64
Tied 4. Pride97: 64
6. EvanJ: 58
7. Wags: 40

Here are the cumulative scores:

1. SomebodyToLove: 242
2. triplec2195: 212
3. Pride97: 194
4. EvanJ: 186
5. HofstraMathew: 184
6. dan10: 168
7. Wags: 166

The mean is 193.1
(This post was last modified: 03-04-2018 05:34 PM by EvanJ.)
03-04-2018 01:59 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #8
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
SomebodyToLove got 96 points for William & Mary's win. His or her 190 points broke the record for best predictions for a doubleheader of any CAA Tournament I did a prediction contest for. SomebodyToLove leads by a whopping 70 points. It's only 56 points from second to last.
03-04-2018 05:51 PM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #9
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Pretty crazy how lucky I've been so far!
03-04-2018 06:00 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #10
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Man I thought I was going to he best on the wm game then saw somebody's and was like damn almost perfect. Thought id make some ground up but appears I dropped to everyone after the 2nd game today

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(This post was last modified: 03-04-2018 06:44 PM by dan10.)
03-04-2018 06:43 PM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #11
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
W&M 81 - Charleston 79
Northeastern 83 - UNCW 75
03-05-2018 10:19 AM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #12
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
CofC 75, W&M 84
NU 82, UNCW 78
03-05-2018 10:37 AM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #13
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Here are the scores through six games:

1. SomebodyToLove: 422
2. dan10: 378
Tied 3. triple2195: 348
Tied 3. Pride97: 348
5. HofstraMathew: 320
6. EvanJ: 302
7. Wags: 296

I predict:

Charleston 79, William & Mary 75
Northeastern 82, UNC Wilmington 73
03-05-2018 10:47 AM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #14
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
I made a pretty good jump yesterday. We may still have a runaway here. Not sure I will be able to defend my title (pretty sure I won it last year. if not I typically do well)
03-05-2018 12:41 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #15
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Here's your contest history:

2017: I didn't make a contest
2016: 2nd out of 3 (I won, and I'm doing bad so far)
2015: 1st out of 4
2014 (the last contest on CAAZone): 1st out of 5*
2013: 10th of 10**
2012: 9th out of 21***
2011: 2nd out of 16^
2010: Tied for 5th out of 17^^
2009: 8th out of 15^^^

* means people made predictions before the tournament and didn't make new predictions with the correct teams. 14 out of 40 predictions were not made or were automatically worth 0 because they had at least one team wrong.

** You were one of five people who did not predict the Semifinals or Final

*** The average person prediction 8.5 out of 11 games. You predicted 9 games, and you were 4th out of 16 people who predicted 9 or fewer games.

^ The top two people were the only people to predict every game.

^^ I only did predictions for the four First Round games.

^^^ Some people predicted some or of the Quarterfinals. You predicted two of the Quarterfinals. Nobody predicted the Semifinals or Final. You were 13th out of 15 in the First Round, which everybody predicted all of.

Edit: Everything above is only about score predictions. I excluded bracket predictions that I used to do.
(This post was last modified: 03-05-2018 07:57 PM by EvanJ.)
03-05-2018 07:42 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #16
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Yeah I knew I had some years of missed picks especially while I was at the tournament lol. Overall good numbers for me

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03-05-2018 08:34 PM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #17
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Oof on tonight's games

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03-05-2018 10:42 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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Post: #18
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
1. SomebodyToLove: 502
2. Pride97: 464
3. dan10: 420
4. EvanJ: 404
5. Wags: 374
6. triplec2195: 348 (did not predict yesterday's games)
7. HofstraMathew: 320 (did not predict yesterday's games)

I predict:

Northeastern 73, College of Charleston 71
(This post was last modified: 03-06-2018 07:59 AM by EvanJ.)
03-06-2018 07:52 AM
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dan10 Offline
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Post: #19
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
CofC- 76
NU- 72
03-06-2018 09:11 AM
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SomebodyToLove Offline
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Post: #20
RE: 2018 CAA Men's Basketball Tournament Prediction Contest
Northeastern 74 - Charleston 69
03-06-2018 09:19 AM
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