(03-16-2018 10:58 AM)va-eagle Wrote: Is this a fair summary of financials:
SBC
- gets $500k, but will be out some production $s. Those production $s may or may not be significant
- no additional inventory to sell for revenue
CUSA
- gets $400k from new contract. Pays $0 for production.
- gets $s from BeIn for 1 more year
- there is a lot of inventory that can still be sold for revenue and ESPN is still in play, but likely not BeIn
The above seems like a net improvement for CUSA and will result in more TV $s than SBC. True? False?
All true but the payouts, none of that has been confirmed. The only site I have seen that suggests 500K per year for the belt schools is sbnation (go figure)................not that it matters a ton. Another is we aren't done negotiating fully with ESPN and have another year of BeIn. I expect BeIn to be re-upped and stadium to pick up more games as the season progresses like they usually do. Will the last 3 "partners" amount to much more $$, who knows. We aren't even sure 400K is what we are getting either, just assumed.
If all of this is true and numbers are correct, what does it boil down to:
1. Sunbelt schools get bragging rights for initial gains
2. Sunbelt schools losing money at the live gate for mid week contests costs each school revenue, on top of paying production costs which equals more body bag games to make up the difference.
3. CUSA schools lose bragging rights, if that matters
4. All of initial gains are pocketed due to no production costs from main partner.
5. The schools that traditionally attend well will keep a good live gate due to few midweek games.
Forecast is (if this is all set in stone), a few sunbelt schools will ascend because they are already set up for covering production costs to keep it to a minimum. Those schools will have an advantage over the other schools in their conference, which means unequal ground.
CUSA schools will all be on equal ground, as it pertains to media revenue. This is a positive overall for most schools. Live gate matters more than these low balled media deals, so schools need to sell their product or enhance their product so it can be sold, that part is up to them. Schools like Marshall and USM used to be a 30K average attendance school, they need to return to that to prosper. Hell UTEP once was a leader of attendance, somehow needs to figure it out and get back to it. Live gate will matter in who survives the NCAA monopoly and who doesn't.