(05-07-2018 01:32 PM)cb4029 Wrote: They blew up the coal mine. Then they put me in prison. Now they are running ads saying the coal mine blew up, and I went to prison...
Guess he could say he got a head start on deregulating coal mines.
That was before Trump directly came out against Blankenship. But surges around election day are really a strong indicator of success. If Blankenship wins, and does so with Trump's stated opposition to his candidacy, that's going to be a DOUBLE win for Manchin.
Basically, Manchin will be able to say "even Trump thinks this guy is too crazy" and the Country Club Republicans will bail on the GOP in that race too. Basically 25 percent of Jenkins' and Morrisey's voters will vote for Manchin over Blankenship.
We will see how things play out tomorrow. Having Blankenship win the GOP primary and Rokita or Braun win in Indiana would be optimal.
If Manchin and Donnelly get safer, that makes the Dems flipping the Senate a LOT more likely, and would increase from about a 25 percent chance to about 45 percent. I doubt that even if Rokita or Braun win in Indiana, that it will completely pull Donnelly off the rocks though.
Again, something seems to tell me Jenkins is going to win anyway tomorrow. The Dems simply are getting all of the breaks this cycle. It doesn't always go in one direction. We will see tomorrow I suppose.
(05-07-2018 02:33 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: Supposedly Trump tweeted out his anti-Blankenship tweet today at the urging of Cocaine Mitch. I'm surprised Trump would do that for McConnell.
No brainer, whether Cocaine Mitch urged him to or not.
(05-07-2018 02:33 PM)Fort Bend Owl Wrote: Supposedly Trump tweeted out his anti-Blankenship tweet today at the urging of Cocaine Mitch. I'm surprised Trump would do that for McConnell.
No brainer, whether Cocaine Mitch urged him to or not.
I am quite entertained at this point. A friggin ex con who went to prison for plotting to hide/frustrate mine safety regulations at a mine where 29 people died might be the GOP Senate nominee. He is also the very definition of 'the swamp' with his attempt to buy the WV legislature outright and by taking a WV Supreme Court Justice on a trip to the French Riviera while he had a case before him. But because he is an unashamed racist, he might actually win the WV GOP primary.
Its possible (but unlikely) that Don Blankenship could beat Manchin. But if Manchin can't beat Blankenship, he can't beat anyone. And if Blankenship gets into the Senate, he's going to do nothing but run kamikazee attacks on the GOP Senate caucus, make a complete ass of himself, tarnish the GOP brand elsewhere in the country, and cause more business/country club/young Republicans to leave in disgust.
05-07-2018 02:53 PM
Machiavelli
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(05-07-2018 03:08 PM)Machiavelli Wrote: Cocaine Mitch says jump, Trump says how high like the good little swamp critter he is.
I don't have much use for Mitch McConnell, but this "Cocaine Mitch" stuff is way over the top. The facts just don't support it. Any possible connection is both sketchy and remote.
(05-07-2018 03:08 PM)Machiavelli Wrote: Cocaine Mitch says jump, Trump says how high like the good little swamp critter he is.
I don't have much use for Mitch McConnell, but this "Cocaine Mitch" stuff is way over the top. The facts just don't support it. Any possible connection is both sketchy and remote.
Don't mention facts to Trump supporters. They're not having it.
And yes, I'm aware of the origin of the "cocaine Mitch" accusations. They're really BS of the highest order.
(05-07-2018 03:08 PM)Machiavelli Wrote: Cocaine Mitch says jump, Trump says how high like the good little swamp critter he is.
I don't have much use for Mitch McConnell, but this "Cocaine Mitch" stuff is way over the top. The facts just don't support it. Any possible connection is both sketchy and remote.
Don't mention facts to Trump supporters. They're not having it.
And yes, I'm aware of the origin of the "cocaine Mitch" accusations. They're really BS of the highest order.
(05-07-2018 07:57 AM)UofMstateU Wrote: I think Manchin is done no matter who wins the republican primary. His poll numbers have been tanking.
WV is still a very heavy union state. Blankenship was once the most hated man in WV after his failure to comply with safety regulations lead to the death of nearly 30 coal miners. How he's polling ahead in GOP internal polls is beyond me. He's the Roy Moore of WV. No way he wins general election, at that point best hope to beat Manchin would be for Jenkins or Morrissey to run as independent. Morrissey has the personality of a corpse he's only a primary contender cause Jenkins is a bit of a RINO and a convict named Blankenship.
(This post was last modified: 05-07-2018 05:49 PM by THE NC Herd Fan.)
(05-07-2018 07:57 AM)UofMstateU Wrote: I think Manchin is done no matter who wins the republican primary. His poll numbers have been tanking.
WV is still a very heavy union state. Blankenship was once the most hated man in WV after his failure to comply with safety regulations lead to the death of nearly 30 coal miners. How he's polling ahead in GOP internal polls is beyond me. He's the Roy Moore of WV. No way he wins general election, at that point best hope to beat Manchin would be for Jenkins or Morrissey to run as independent. Morrissey has the personality of a corpse he's only a primary contender cause Jenkins is a bit of a RINO and a convict named Blankenship.
That would guarantee that Manchin would win. But its not going to happen, as WV has a 'sore loser' law. If you run and lose in a party primary, you cannot run as an independent in the general. Blankenship wins tomorrow....its either him or Manchin. There is a Libertarian running, but he ain't going nowhere.
(This post was last modified: 05-07-2018 11:02 PM by Tom in Lazybrook.)
Internal Polls (not released) by some campaigns seem to indicate that Blankenship's momentum has stalled. Who knows what will happen. I think it will be Jenkins.
Also, there is a race in North Carolina I forgot to mention. The GOP primary for the 3rd Congressional District, currently held by Walter Jones. He's being primaried by 2 other Republicans. Note, there is a primary runoff in NC. But there is no Democratic candidate in this district. Which is quite rare this year, but its Eastern North Carolina. Jones' main opponent is Scott Dacey.
Basically Jones will very rarely stray from the reservation. He doesn't like wars or deficits. But other than that, he's a 100% hard core social warrior and right winger. Dacey is no different. I could care less who wins this primary, but I think, in the long run, it will be worse for the GOP nationally if Dacey wins. Basically, it will force even more GOP slavish support for the strict party line. http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/386...y-showdown
well i pulled a homer at the ballot today. as i was inking cordray for guh'nuh it occurred to me that my man all along was bill o'neil, the philandering warrior of grass
Todd Braun is the projected winner in the Indiana Republican Primary already. I would think the fact that they called it so quickly is a good indication that he'll be a tough candidate to beat in November. Donnally is going to have his hands full winning re-election.
Looking like the Corpse aka Morrisey is holding a steady lead. Honestly any of the GOP candidates are poor alternatives to Manchin I say Manchin cruises to an easy victory in November.
Renacci is projected to win the Republican primary in Ohio. He'll face Brown on the ballot in November, but unlike Indiana, I think Brown should retain his seat relatively easy.
Blankenship is not doing well in West Virginia at all. West Virginians have no sense of humor. Blankenship was quoted during the day "I get my guns back in a day or two, so I am going to win either way tonight." (he is off his probation at midnight tonight from his jail service). Morrisey's lead has shrunk a bit but Jenkins is the only one who appears like he can catch him. I don't get the sense it will be easy but I think Manchin can defeat Morrisey.
Morrisey the projected winner. But quite a few more Democratic votes than Republican votes in the primary, which surprises me. Maybe Manchin will win in November after all (I know - voting totals in the primaries don't mean much but the Republican primary received a lot of attention - I'm surprised it attracted so few voters, comparatively.