Attackcoog
Moderator
Posts: 44,839
Joined: Oct 2011
Reputation: 2880
I Root For: Houston
Location:
|
RE: AAC Revenue Declines for 2016-17
(06-14-2018 11:59 AM)Dawgxas Wrote: (06-14-2018 11:31 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: (06-14-2018 10:15 AM)Dawgxas Wrote: (06-14-2018 01:14 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: (06-14-2018 12:16 AM)Dawgxas Wrote: Doubled lol, that’s after a decline from 15.4 to 2.8 million tv contract in 2016.
None that has a basis in the reality that the lost of TV subscribers has cost ESPN billions, in 2014 revenue was 6.4 billion and is projected to be close to 2 billion next fiscal year.
So if it is not coming from ESPN, how are the other Cable Sports channels doing?
This is from May:
ESPN: -500K households
FS1: -328K households
Golf Channel: -505K
NBCSN: -544K
NFLN: -842K (Comcast kicked it up a tier with the Fox TNF news)
Not any better, all this has happen since the AAC contract was negotiated in 2013
Who do think is going to bid up the price? Just curious, I really don’t understand the pie in the sky/head in the sand mentality.
Of course I would like CUSA TV contract to be more but also realize that using the Big 10 contract as basis for our contract is absurd and has no basis in reality
The 2016 decline was due to that being the first open market renegotiation for CUSA rights after the 2011-2013 realignment. Same thing happened to the AAC when they had to negotiate immediately following realignment in 2013. Due to membership changes, the AAC/Big East deal went from 4 million a team to 2 million a team--a 50% cut. Worse yet, the Big East had rejected a 10 million a team offer in April of 2011. So you could make the case the value of the conference actually fell 80% after the membership changes.
Yes, subscribers are declining. So what. I just gave you 4 deals in the last few months. Every single one doubled--tripled--or better. The data is the data. Sports values are continuing to rise. Content is king. Nobody watches ESPN to see the talking heads. They go there to see the games.
Your data comparision is severely flawed.
Do you know what the Sunbelt is making because it has not been publicize and before they were making what 100k per team so now they are making 200k.
CUSA contract fell by almost 80% in 2016, so now that have gone to other streaming venues to see a slight increase.
If you look at the opinions of consultants and lawyers that have negotiated billion dollar tv contracts it is starkly different
The reckoning: When rights-fee bubble bursts, college sports will be changed forever
It was a nice model," says Frank Hawkins, principal of Scalar Media Partners, a Manhattan sports and media consulting firm, "but it isn't going to last."
The divide between the schools from the Power 5 conferences and the rest will widen. Nameplates, not 43-inch monitors, will festoon lockers. There will be fewer $600,000 strength coaches. Football players will have to nap in their dorm rooms. "The athletic department of tomorrow," says Hawkins, "could go through what Bristol is going through today."
present for the negotiations chuckles when he recalls ESPN's most recent NBA contract. "If that deal was being done today, it would look much different.... We're talking 30%-less different.
lol...his job is to pay as little for content as possible. So, I mean--believe what he says if you like---even though the NBA season just broke a bunch of TV ratings records this year--- Im sure its value has fallen 30%. Regardless, the facts are the amounts being paid in deals where people are actually putting their money on the table are rising.
NBA record attendance in 2018
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/04/12/nba-has-...ptick.html
NBA Western Final Breaks Viewship Records
https://variety.com/2016/tv/news/nba-gam...201785911/
Cavs/Celtics Breaks TV Ratings Record For ESPN
http://slackiebrown.com/cavs-celtics-bre...-for-espn/
No, Scalar was a consultant for the NBA. Would rather believe someone that help negotiate a billion dollar TV contract?
The landscape was change and ESPN has been a drag on DIS, losing millions subscribers, over 4 Billion in lost revenue and laying off hundreds employees.
The facts are that CUSA lost 80% of it's TV contract in this environment and You have no evidence of the new Sunbelt Contract. Yep the "facts are facts"
"No financial details were available"
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/sports/co...story.html
Thats true for the Belt--no official figures were announced. However, Arkstfan (who is usually spot on) says the number he has heard from sources is about $400K per team. FWIW--the Sunbelt board seems to have embraced that number as well. That would also fit with the realtively vague range Matt Sarz discussed when parsing comments about the financials. The most defined number I found was in a NY Business Journal article which states the new payout is $300-400K per team.
* While I deal with the topic of financials far less, maybe because it's not as relevant to me, the AP is reporting the Sun Belt will increase their rights fee payment from ESPN. I expected some form of increase in rights fee, but the conference was starting from the floor compared to many of their peers & even a doubling of their rights fee from ESPN would only result in an average per school of around $200,000 to start, with non-football members like UT Arlington & Little Rock receiving another, presumably reduced, amount. I don't know if Idaho or New Mexico St. received any rights fee when they were affiliate members in football. Hawai'i doesn't from the Mountain West unless certain revenue targets are met and I doubt Navy did from the American when they have had side deals for the Army-Navy game and their own home games with CBS Sports.
Per the audio teleconference, commissioner Karl Benson referred to the rights fee as being on par with other Group of Five conferences. The MAC's purported rights fee is around $833,000 per school, $10 million to the conference per year. If they were closer to that, then Benson is right that the increase is significant, even if the number is small by the standards set by the Power 5 conferences.
http://mattsarzsports.blogspot.com/searc...-results=7
The New York Bussiness Journal says $300-400K .
Sun Belt schools will see an increase in annual revenue well above the current $100,000 per school, sources said. Under the new deal, Sun Belt schools can expect $300,000 to $400,000 per year with annual increases.
https://www.bizjournals.com/newyork/news...-with.html
(This post was last modified: 06-14-2018 12:36 PM by Attackcoog.)
|
|