(06-27-2018 12:01 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (06-27-2018 12:39 AM)Stugray2 Wrote: She admits it has flaws, but it could push for more schedule equity in P5, forcing the SEC and ACC to add an additional power opponent to be on par with the B1G , P12 and B12. Of course the ACC and SEC schools with built in P5 rivals like Georgia (GT) and Clemson (So Car) get that 10th P5 opponent.
While I believe Alabama is ridiculously loaded and hard to keep out of a Playoff, and would get in by any rules they have to play by, it's clear that Saban sets up the most minimum path to get there, so he has to be forced by rules to play on a level playing field.
Sigh .... here are Alabama's Sagarin SOS ratings during the title winning Saban years:
2009 ... 2*
2010 ... 14
2011 ... 15*
2012 ... 19*
2013 ... 39
2014 ... 2
2015 ... 2*
2016 ... 1
2017 ... 27*
Overall, that's an average SOS of ... 13.4 over those nine years. That's playing tough schedules. In four of those nine years they've had a *top two* schedule, in seven a top 20 schedule, and in only one year in nine was their schedule outside the top 30 - and they didn't win the title that year.
The problem with the author's analysis is it (a) treats every P5 as better than every G5, which is silly (e.g., compare UCF to Vanderbilt last year), and (b) it discounts the strength of conference.
Hum, do they pad their big games with byes and FCS schools in November? Let look at the record:
2019: Nov 23 Western Carolina
2018: Oct 27 bye, next week LSU Nov 3; Nov 17 the Citadel; Nov 24 Auburn (TWO PADDINGS!!!)
SEC unlike P12 and ACC, makes it fair, giving LSU a bye on Oct 27, Auburn plays Liberty (just up from FCS) on Nov 17
but the padding is there for big games unlike P12
2017: Oct 28 bye before LSU, Nov 18 Mercer before Auburn
2016: bye before LSU, Chattanooga before Auburn
2015: bye before LSU, Charleston Southern before Auburn
2014: bye before Ole Miss, bye before LSU, Western Carolina before Auburn (also USM before Florida ... this was a super padded year)
2013: bye before A&M, bye before LSU, Chattanooga before Auburn
2012: Western Carolina before Auburn (this was by far the least padded season)
Yeah, the SEC (CCG helps that ranking alot)and their Kickoff game are solid opponents. But Saban pads his big games more than anyone, and has lot's of rest & recuperation time built into his October and November schedules you just don't see in other programs. This is also a program that play 7 home games and a friendly neutral site kickoff (lots of prep time). Only 4 true road games, and by usual random draw only 2 are probably against winning season SEC teams (by draw 2 are likely losing, just the way it goes with that).
So yes, Saban builds in every advantage he can. The SEC allowing post-September FCS opponents is a crime against the playoff system. If they had to play a 9th conference game, the advantage over a Washington who will get back to back road games (the 2nd only 6 days off) against likely ranked opponents is a path Alabama never faces. This is the unfairness that has to be addressed, the SEC advantage.