(10-09-2018 08:41 PM)ArQ Wrote: (10-09-2018 06:19 PM)TexanMark Wrote: (10-09-2018 05:50 PM)ArQ Wrote: (10-08-2018 09:47 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: My bold prediction is that the SEC adds 6 schools from the Big 12/ACC, realizing that if they control all the major brands in the greater southeast they drive up their own value even higher and deflate the value of two rivals.
The Big 10 follows with a similar scheme only to do it poorly.
SEC should pick these six schools: UNC, NC State, Florida State, Clemson, Texas and Oklahoma.
Then B1G will add Duke, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Kansas and Georgia Tech.
The leftovers of ACC and Big12 will form the new conference ACC12.
ACC12 North:
Boston College
Syracuse
Pittsburgh
West Virginia
Wake Forest
Miami
ACC12 South:
Iowa State
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Texas Tech
Baylor
TCU
Several of those teams are totally unrealistic to their new conferences...especially in regards to the SEC/B1G. Have you been paying attention?
The thesis is based on:
1. P5 is consolidated to P4 with two majors (SEC and B1G) and two minors (PAC12 and ACC12).
2. SEC has absolute power to make the first picks. They always show interest on UNC, NC State, Clemson, Oklahoma and Texas. Many of SEC wants Florida State, too, but Florida is blocking it. With many states go to two, Florida will unblock it.
3. B1G has the second pick. They can't be football centric as SEC, so they have to consider all three criteria: football, basketball and academics. They always want UNC, Duke, Virginia and Georgia Tech. With UNC gone, they will get the latter three though. The remaining three picks will be Virginia Tech and Louisville for football and Kansas for basketball.
Have you ever stopped to think who actually benefits the most by having Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and Kentucky split between two conferences?
When you can approach a national or regional advertiser and sell a football or basketball advertising package and get paid twice, because you are selling to two markets.
Rather than talking about consolidation in a state perhaps you should start thinking along the lines of: NC State and Virginia Tech to the SEC and Vanderbilt and Auburn to the ACC.
Of course Auburn to the ACC and NC State to the SEC is not realistic. Neither conference will cede incursion into one of their core areas.
So what will happen is this:
After repeated badgering from the league about the condition of their football stadium and the lack of a true athletic department, which fall far short of "SEC Standards", Vanderbilt will petition the ACC for membership in 4-5 years. The SEC will counter by inviting West Virginia when the Big 12 GOR expires to lay claim to their share of Western Pennsylvania and eastern Ohio.
This is what will start the next round.
With the Big 12 in an uncertain future (no TV contract, no network) ESPN agrees to continue to pay Tejas after they join the SEC with Texas Tech (which the SEC will also agree to).
The B1G will grab Missouri from the SEC (the SEC will choose to stay at 15) along with Iowa State.
The Oklahoma and Kansas schools head to the PAC and Baylor and TCU move to the American.
The 15 team ACC welcomes Notre Dame when the Irish are forced to join because of the new champions only format of the P4.