usffan
Heisman
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RE: Access Bowl Top 10 Week 6
(10-08-2018 08:01 PM)dbackjon Wrote: (10-08-2018 01:26 PM)SouthernBoiNOLA Wrote: 1 UCF (5-0) Uconn, SC St, FAU, Pitt, SMU
2 USF (5-0) Elon, GA Tech, Illinois, ECU, UMass
3 Cincy (6-0) UCLA, MI-OH, Alabama St, Ohio, UConn, Tulane
4 SD St (4-1) Sac St, Ariz St, E Mich, Boise (Stanford)
5 Houston (4-1) Rice, AZ, TX So, Tulsa (Texas Tech)
6 App St (3-1) Char, Webber, S Ala (Penn St)
7 Troy (5-1) FAMU, Nebraska, ULM, Coastal Carolina, GA State (Boise)
8 Fresno (4-1) Idaho, UCLA, Toledo, Nevada (Minn)
9 Buffalo (5-1) Delaware St, Temple, Eastern MI, Rutgers, Central MI (Army)
10 Hawaii (6-1) CO St, Navy, Rice, Duq, San Hose St,WYO (Army)
To help you out
Utah State (4-1) NMSU, Tenn Tech, AFA, BYU (Michigan State)
Let's look at Utah State's schedule using Sagarin:
#36 at Michigan State (78.41) - LOSS
#159 New Mexico State (48.94) - WIN
#233 Tennessee Tech (26.65) - WIN
#71 Air Force (68.56) - WIN
#72 at BYU (68.32) - WIN
#127 UNLV (55.96)
#100 at Wyoming (61.92)
#95 New Mexico (62.68)
#110 at Hawaii (60.25)
#154 San Jose State (50.36)
#120 at Colorado State (57.43)
#33 at Boise State (78.90)
(by the way, why not play a 13th game when you play at Hawaii?)
With the exception of that season finale on the smurf turf, every remaining game is against a team that ranks at least 95th in the Sagarin rankings. There are only 130 FBS teams total! And even if you toss out the 8 FCS schools that are ranked ahead of New Mexico, that's still an awful schedule of remaining games! So I don't think Utah State would crack at least the top 8 of that initial list.
For all of the teeth gnashing of people pissed about the AAC candidates, here's the thing - look at the remaining schedules. UCF (#26, 80.53), Cincinnati (#49, 74.40), Houston (#52, 74.09), USF (#54, 73.23), Temple (#55, 73.13) and Memphis (#57, 72.91) all have to play one another, which is going to give a significant schedule bump and credit to the team that emerges from that (NB - it's also possible they all beat each other up, which is why I don't so automatically subscribe to the notion that this is the AAC's to lose).
USFFan
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