Might be a lengthy post...
Fully acknowledging that this season has been highly disappointing, I have to say that I feel a lot better about the team than I did 3-4 weeks ago. Somewhere in there, I think we halfway turned the corner. I don't think it's a stretch to say that we're a better basketball team than our record indicates. I wouldn't have said that 3-4 weeks ago.
Here's what I'm basing my opinion on:
1) Last 6 games - we're 3-3 including some games against the best teams in the league. We beat Rice (15-5) on national TV, and they're tied for 1st right now. Of course, we just lost in double OT to the other team tied for first, Hawaii (15-4). Our other two losses during this stretch were on the road to two teams only 1 game back of first place (Nevada and Fresno), both by single digits. Even backing up one more game to our last seven, we're 3-4 with a 3 point loss to UTEP (15-4), who's also only one game out of first place.
Bottom line: lately, we are competing with the best teams in the conference and beating the rest. I guarantee you that if we were playing this well 6-8 weeks ago, we would've beat SMU and La Tech on the road.
2) Player development - the season begins and ends with the fact that of the 8 guys in our rotation, 6 of them are playing their first real season of D-I ball. I know Price and Collins are sophomores, but you can't count last year when they would come in for 3 minutes to give the seniors a rest. They didn't have to contribute last year, just hold their own for a few minutes. Now they have to contribute and win games.
But the new guys have stepped up in recent weeks:
Price - better and better every game. Becoming a force in the post. At times, the other team can't stop him. Putting up double figures in scoring almost every game. Next year he'll be our leading scorer, you watch. He's even starting to make a free throw or two. And hustles like hell on both ends of the floor.
Tiechmann - still tentative on offense, but coming out of his shell a little bit. Over the past 8-10 games he's been our best rebounder. Solid defensive player. Looks more confident every game. Remember, his first year of D-I ball. It took Tony Heard half a season to get going, too.
Collins - stopped settling for jump shots and started taking it to the rim. Totally changed his game. Now teams have to respect him off the dribble. Streaky from the 3 point line, but dangerous if he's hot. Getting better defensively and starting to crash the boards. Becoming a well-rounded player.
Kelley - accepted his role as 6th man and plays with a lot of energy. Lots of upside to his game. Now that he's familiar with the defensive assignments in the flow of the game, he's starting to make plays on defense. Not afraid to score either. Very solid player for a true freshman.
Ramsdell - quietly having a solid season as another true freshman (from small-ball Kingfisher). Has a knack for getting offensive rebounds and putbacks. When Tiechmann got in foul trouble Saturday, Ramsdell filled in and did a fine job. Not once did I say "oh boy, they're really picking on Ramsdell." Just executed his assignments and played hard for over 30 minutes. Just needs a little more bulk.
Cardwell - before he got hurt, he picked up his game a lot. Started blocking shots like a man possessed. And we have him for 3 more years.
Bottom line: This is a good young nucleus we can build around for the next 2-3 years. They're competing now... they'll start winning soon enough.
3) Not far off from predicted finish - I hate to bring this up, but we were picked to finish 5th in the league. Right now, we're one game back of 6th. That's where I predict we'll finish - the 6 seed in the WAC tourney. Down the strech we play San Jose and Boise on the road (already beat them once), and close with La Tech and SMU at home. I think we sweep those 4 games and wind up ahead of those teams with just another 1 or 2 more WAC wins along the way.
Bottom line: if UTEP weren't having a surprise season, we'd be playing for 5th instead of 6th... just as predicted. Don't you think there are plenty of coaches in the league who hope to avoid us the first round of the WAC tourney as a 6 seed?
Based on all of the above, I'm a lot more encouraged than I was a few weeks ago. I think the year will end up as two seasons in one, the 4-8 start and a better than .500 finish. It's been damn frustrating to watch :bang: but I honestly believe we'll win a lot more games next year.
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