Captain Bearcat
All-American in Everything
Posts: 9,512
Joined: Jun 2010
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I Root For: UC
Location: IL & Cincinnati, USA
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RE: Is an undefeated PAC 12 Champ CFP worthy?
(10-06-2020 04:24 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote: (10-06-2020 03:39 PM)Captain Bearcat Wrote: (10-05-2020 06:15 PM)WhoseHouse? Wrote: (10-05-2020 05:50 PM)Captain Bearcat Wrote: (10-05-2020 01:46 PM)quo vadis Wrote: Yes, that makes no sense. If USC isn't a bona-fide football blue-blood than nobody is.
Like any blue-blood, they are just one good coaching hire away from being back on top again.
A blue-blood does not average under 60,000 fans a game. Even in an off year. USC has done it two years in a row.
Attendance, 2019:
Michigan, 111,459
Texas: 96,306
USC: 59,358
Attendance, 2018:
Michigan: 110,737
Texas: 97,713
USC: 55,449
Their 5 year average is over 66,000. More importantly USC claims 11 national championships (T-2) and is top 10 in wins, win percentage, conference championships, all-americans, bowl appearances, players drafted, Heisman winners, and weeks ranked. They are absolutely on the shortest of short lists of elite programs.
Miami has 5 national titles since 1980. Are they blue-blood?
Of course not.
Why not? Because they when they stopped winning, their fanbase disappeared.
USC is going through the same thing now that Minnesota did in the 60s (6 titles 1934-1960) and Pitt did in the 80s (9 titles 1910-1976).
USC had 23 players on NFL rosters to start the 2020 season. 4th in the PAC, 22nd in CFB. Well below Miami (30) and just barely ahead of Mississippi State (21) and Temple (20).
USC's athletic revenues in 2018 were 116.9 million. 5th in the PAC, 30th in CFB.
USC just took 16,000 seats out of their stadium. Similar to has-been programs like Illinois and Minnesota. Schools like Alabama and Michigan have added 5,000-10,000 seats in their recent expansions. Texas A&M added 20,000.
USC's 2019 recruiting class was 4th in the PAC according to 247. The 2020 class was 12th in the PAC, 64th in the country. 2020 was a small class, but even if you rank by averages it was 5th in the PAC-12. That means they had low numbers because they couldn't get the quality.
USC's decline is not inevitable or irreversible. They had a down patch in the 90s too. But the trend is really bad, and it's across the board.
Their current recruiting class is #8 in the nation. Their 2018 and 2017 class were #4 in the nation.
Miami isn't a blue blood because they had almost zero history before 1980. USC is college football royalty. They were winning natty's before Miami was even fielding a team. Even with their decline and the Pac's lackluster TV deal they are still valued as the #19 most profitable college football program.
Under Carroll (which really wasn't all that long ago) they finished in the top 5 seven consecutive seasons, went 6-1 in major bowls, and won two titles. Thats more recent success than like 90% of the country. Carroll's departure majorly hurt that program. Not only because they had to replace a top 5 all time HC, but because they were getting slapped heavy with violations. They've been mediocre by their own standard as of late but they still been ranked 5 of the last 10 seasons, with two top 10 rankings. They're still just a good hire away from being right back to a thorn in everyone's side.
College football royalty: Alabama, Oklahoma, Ohio St., Notre Dame, USC, Michigan, UT
10 years ago, I would have agreed with you.
But teams can demote themselves from "royalty." Pitt won 9 national titles from 1919 to 1976, and has a legitimate claim to the 1980 title. They were top-5 in NFL players produced in the 70s and 80s. Miami joined the Big East mostly because of Pitt. But in the 90s, Pitt declined. Nobody today considers Pitt a blue blood.
Right now, I'd put schools like LSU, Auburn, Penn State, Nebraska and maybe Florida ahead of USC on the "royalty" scale. Nebraska is at risk of falling off though.
Florida State & Clemson are similar in quality to those others, but they're nouveau riche. Oregon and Georgia could get there too if they win a national title. Texas A&M could quickly elevate itself; they have everything but the performance on the field.
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