Frank the Tank
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I Root For: Illinois/DePaul
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RE: The NoDak Memorial College Hockey Start-Up Rumors Thread
(Yesterday 04:17 PM)nodak651 Wrote: (Yesterday 03:27 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (Yesterday 03:09 PM)nodak651 Wrote: (Yesterday 01:55 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (Yesterday 01:28 PM)nodak651 Wrote: I fundamentally disagree with a lot of your arguments about this. I do agree that schools will need a massive donation to add hockey. I don't agree that Illinois wasn't able to get it done - they didn't want to get it done. I disagree with your ROI assessments. Every school without hockey will always have an existing pool of boosters and other stakeholders that are against hockey. Therefore, adding hockey is a risky choice for any AD with a cushy job to make. The risk/reward for the decision makers is why hockey isn't getting added. That doesn't mean that funneling every penny into FB and BB is always the best decision for any given University. Diversifying revenue streams and donor pools, economic impact, attention from underserved regional hockey fans, and the ability to help with student recruitment from states in the North are all things that are mostly unaccounted for. The ROI spent on every additional dollar spent on FB just isn't there. A couple million dollars extra into the FB program isn't going to affect revenue at all when most of it is coming from TV contracts that Illinois is already locked into. The athletic director doesn't want people to skapegoat him for adding hockey if (when) Illinois FB continues to be bad to mediocre in the future.
With all due respect, I categorically reject EVERYTHING that you just stated about Illinois. Whatever you want to say about Josh Whitman, our AD, he did everything possible to get a hockey program started. We had been talking about Illinois D-I hockey since I went to school there… and that was the 1990s. I have it on extremely good authority that this was all in place prior to the pandemic (and that was subsequently reported publicly), but losing a massive amount of revenue during that pandemic period (as zero football and basketball attendance revenue came in that year and TV revenue was drastically reduced) straight up killed it. The funds to make it financially viable were gone and we (and every other athletic department in a similar position) could no longer go forward.
And look - it SUCKS. I badly wanted to see Illinois add a hockey program and, more broadly, I think the proposed arena would have transformed downtown Champaign (as it also would have brought volleyball and other sports to that area). Unfortunately, I don’t have $100 million laying around to make that happen.
However, you seem to be making it into some choice between and football/basketball and hockey when the fact of the matter is that there is NO choice to be made here. Every school in the P4, even the ones with historic hockey programs like Michigan, Minnesota and BC, are going to prioritize football/basketball every time because nothing else works without football/basketball (and particularly the football part). So, if you want to see hockey added to any P4 school, you have to go into it with that assumption or else you’re not getting anywhere.
In any event, the Illinois decision to not move forward with hockey had absolutely nothing to do with the AD being concerned that hockey would somehow be blamed for mediocre football. He has been the only person in the last 50 years to actually get a real hockey proposal on the table instead of just talking about it. Ultimately, a lost year of revenue from the pandemic killed the project. As noted above, Iowa even cut sports as a result of it, which is something that we didn’t do… and they make a lot more football attendance revenue than Illinois.
You don’t have to personally like that this is the paradigm in college sports. However, you shouldn’t be in denial that it exists. I’m not the one that needs to be convinced of anything here. You’re arguing against the fundamental business model of college sports today, so it’s the ADs that you need to convince as opposed to me. If I were wrong, then we’d be seeing someone other than Penn State and Arizona State with record breaking donations adding hockey at the P4 level… but that obviously hasn’t happened.
Not sure why you keep claiming that I'm in denial. You're the one talking out both sides of your mouth. I agree, athletic directors are expected to throw as much money possible at FB/BB. There's never enough. In Illinois case, after hockey was shut down, I'm sure it wasn't ever suggested to any of the potential donors that they should consider shifting their potential donations towards NIL, right?
How am I talking out of both sides of my mouth? I’ve been pretty consistent here.
I’m unsure of what you’re getting at in terms of the NIL question. Every school in college sports had a massive upending due to NIL compensation being authorized. That’s just a natural market force if a donor cares more about football than hockey (or basketball or volleyball or any other sport). Clearly, the top levels of football and basketball are essentially now a free agent market with the combo of NIL and transfer portal (and may further be the case if/when athletes are declared to be employees), so yeah, how donors approach athletics today is vastly different than it was pre-Alston.
With respect to hockey support, Terry Pegula had a combination of (a) massive funds and (b) specific interest in hockey at Penn State. I would love it if Illinois had a similar person, but so far, only one other school in the country has had a similar donor (Arizona State).
You claim the AD wanted to build the arena but inflation yada yada.... the reality is that he wanted to fund Alston and NIL. Whether or not the arena was still viable was irrelevant. Inflation was the excuse but not the actual reason the plan was scrapped. Yet you're the one who says I'm in denial.
I’m not being binary here. It’s ALL relevant - a 50% increase in inflation costs, the fact that Illinois enrolled a larger number of female students where the initial belief that it wasn’t necessary to add a women’s team may not have been true anymore, possible need to pay players in existing sports down the road, NIL, etc. It’s *all* relevant. What I push back against is your focus that this is about donors that are bothered by spending money on hockey versus spending money on football or basketball. This isn’t North Dakota where it’s a one track mind of hockey or nothing or Alabama where it’s 100% football. We actually care a lot about multiple sports in Illinois and most of us are from the Chicago market where we have among the most passionate fan bases in football, baseball, basketball AND hockey at same time. What a concept!
So, I’m not understanding your constant harping here. Hockey needs to pay for itself for it to be added to a P4 school. Period. If you want to say that NIL has meant that even more money needs to go to football and basketball to maintain the status quo and that might make it harder for hockey to pay for itself because money isn’t unlimited, then sure! You’ll get no argument from me there. The House case, probable future revenue sharing, and probable employment status for athletes will make it harder, too. If that’s your point, then I think we agree here much more than we disagree. No one has a personal issue with hockey. Hockey is awesome! Lots of schools and fans would love it in a vacuum! We’re simply not in a vacuum, though.
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