HiddenDragon Wrote:I'm revisiting this idea. Just play along for a minute. If the MWC loses AFA and CSU and for some mysterious reason the AAC decides to stay put at 10 teams then I would think the MWC has to get pretty creative to counter the AAC move. Soooooo................
Pacific Division
UNLV
San Jose St
Frenso St
SDSU
Nevada
Mountain Division
Boise St
Wyoming
Utah St.
UTSA
UTEP/UNT
East Division
App St
UAB
Marshall
Liberty
Coastal Carolina
Feel free to interject, replace, or move teams around.
If the AAC takes Air Force and Colorado State, then the Mountain West would very likely take North Texas and Texas-San Antonio from Conference USA....
UNLESS, in the AAC's expansion they also add UAB and UTSA, which is incredibly likely.
In this case the Mountain West would very likely take North Texas and Texas-El Paso.
This leaves Rice as the only CUSA school in Texas, which isn't horrible. Rice could get to Western Kentucky in the same amount of time it would take them to get to UTEP.
Best outcome for CUSA is that the AAC somehow snags four from the Mountain West. Losing also Wyoming and Utah State or New Mexico would be a devastating blow to the Mountain West even with keeping Boise, San Diego State, and Fresno. The geographical map of the MWC becomes uglier than CUSA. In this scenario the Mountain West could take all four CUSA Texas schools, but the more likely outcome would be the three western-most Texas schools (leaving Rice in CUSA) and picking up New Mexico State.
In this scenario UAB remains in Conference USA and travel to west Texas is gone meaning Southern Miss and Marshall will likely stay in the conference so long as a better TV deal can be accomplished that eclipses the Sun Belt's.
Taking a page out of the Sun Belt's book, Conference USA could stay at 10 and allow larger media distributions to go to what they have left or they could add Liberty and James Madison as long as the value those schools bring can justify their additions.