(11-20-2021 10:38 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

No. Houston will play Cincinnati. All ecu can do is determine where

Great, good luck next week against ECU!

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

(11-20-2021 10:42 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

You can noodle all you want, but Houston has no chance to beat Cincy in Nippert. UH will not be playing Rice, Grambling or Prairie View in two weeks.

(11-20-2021 10:42 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

It will be close. If Utah wins out (which looks likely) they will be the PAC-12 Champ and a Top 12-15 team. That would be as good a win for SDSU as a Houston win over Cincinnati (who would be around 12-15 after a loss). Add in a Boise State and Air Force win (on the road) and the SDSU's resume starts to look pretty good. Also, I wonder if the committee is taking into effect that SDSU has played no home games. Their "home" games are really neutral site games as they are playing in LA (2-3 hours away). How many teams could go 12-1 playing zero home games?

(11-22-2021 06:06 PM)namssa Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:42 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

It will be close. If Utah wins out (which looks likely) they will be the PAC-12 Champ and a Top 12-15 team. That would be as good a win for SDSU as a Houston win over Cincinnati (who would be around 12-15 after a loss). Add in a Boise State and Air Force win (on the road) and the SDSU's resume starts to look pretty good. Also, I wonder if the committee is taking into effect that SDSU has played no home games. Their "home" games are really neutral site games as they are playing in LA (2-3 hours away). How many teams could go 12-1 playing zero home games?

Makes it much easier when SDST played two 10 loss teams as well as a 7 loss FCS team. Plus UNLV will probably get their 10th loss when they play Air Force next.

That said, BSU will probably beat SDST since they've finally got themselves straightened out and playing well. LOL, Utah will no be in the same ranking range as UC regardless of what happens the rest of the season.

(11-22-2021 07:42 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  

(11-22-2021 06:06 PM)namssa Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:42 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

It will be close. If Utah wins out (which looks likely) they will be the PAC-12 Champ and a Top 12-15 team. That would be as good a win for SDSU as a Houston win over Cincinnati (who would be around 12-15 after a loss). Add in a Boise State and Air Force win (on the road) and the SDSU's resume starts to look pretty good. Also, I wonder if the committee is taking into effect that SDSU has played no home games. Their "home" games are really neutral site games as they are playing in LA (2-3 hours away). How many teams could go 12-1 playing zero home games?

Makes it much easier when SDST played two 10 loss teams as well as a 7 loss FCS team. Plus UNLV will probably get their 10th loss when they play Air Force next.

That said, BSU will probably beat SDST since they've finally got themselves straightened out and playing well. LOL, Utah will no be in the same ranking range as UC regardless of what happens the rest of the season.

Houston played two (likely 3) 10 loss teams as well as a 7 loss FCS team (Grambling). And that doesn't include Rice, who is terrible. Houston's schedule is actually worse than SDSU's. Houston will have the bigger win (Cincinnati). But SDSU will have a win over the PAC-12 champ, and a better strength of schedule. As I said it will be close. Of course, if SDSU or Houston lose, then the argument is moot. It'll probably never get there. I fully expect Cincinnati to win out.

(11-22-2021 08:31 PM)namssa Wrote:  

(11-22-2021 07:42 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  

(11-22-2021 06:06 PM)namssa Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:42 PM)pesik Wrote:  

(11-20-2021 10:36 PM)sfink16 Wrote:  Not to be a spoiler, but doesn't ECU win the AAC if they win out, beating UC and then Houston in the championship game? Of course, if that would happen, the AAC not only losses the playoff bid but loses the Access Bowl as well. Did I get that right?

no they needed smu to beat cincy.. cincy and houston have clinched

houston losing to uconn and then beating cincy is the only scenario the aac wont have a great shot at the ny6 bid

cincy winning out is a lock ..maybe playoff
houston beating a top 5 cincy will jump sdsu

cincy losing to ecu, cincy would still likely be top 15...above sdsu..and likely still quality enough to have Houston jump sdsu with a win

It will be close. If Utah wins out (which looks likely) they will be the PAC-12 Champ and a Top 12-15 team. That would be as good a win for SDSU as a Houston win over Cincinnati (who would be around 12-15 after a loss). Add in a Boise State and Air Force win (on the road) and the SDSU's resume starts to look pretty good. Also, I wonder if the committee is taking into effect that SDSU has played no home games. Their "home" games are really neutral site games as they are playing in LA (2-3 hours away). How many teams could go 12-1 playing zero home games?

Makes it much easier when SDST played two 10 loss teams as well as a 7 loss FCS team. Plus UNLV will probably get their 10th loss when they play Air Force next.

That said, BSU will probably beat SDST since they've finally got themselves straightened out and playing well. LOL, Utah will no be in the same ranking range as UC regardless of what happens the rest of the season.

Houston played two (likely 3) 10 loss teams as well as a 7 loss FCS team (Grambling). And that doesn't include Rice, who is terrible. Houston's schedule is actually worse than SDSU's. Houston will have the bigger win (Cincinnati). But SDSU will have a win over the PAC-12 champ, and a better strength of schedule. As I said it will be close. Of course, if SDSU or Houston lose, then the argument is moot. It'll probably never get there. I fully expect Cincinnati to win out.

Not True! Houston played ZERO 10 loss teams so far. They do play their first in UConn this coming week. Yes, Tulane and USF could eventually lose their 10th games, but at least they each played brutal OOC schedules plus UC and Houston in conference.

You're going to compare how bad Rice is than I can add New Mexico for SDST. New Mexico had 5 games where they scored 7 points or less including TWO shutouts.