(12-01-2021 11:01 AM)ericsaid Wrote:  

(11-30-2021 09:09 PM)HiddenDragon Wrote:  Way over thinking it from UC perspective. UC wins and they are in regardless of what happens with the other teams. Now if UC wants to feel safe and secure then Alabama losing would definitely make that feeling happen.

No. It's not that simple.

If Oklahoma State, Alabama, and Michigan win Cincinnati is left out.

Maybe what I should have said is as long as the favorites win this Saturday UC is in. In your scenario, I stated earlier that Oklahoma St would be the only team UC would have to be concern about because the Cowboys could jump them. If Alabama and Michigan win, UC can still get in with a win and Oklahoma St loss. I still stand by that comment, OK St is the biggest threat to UC not getting in oustide of UC losing to UH.

I think you still need to root for chaos just to be safe.
Iowa beating Michigan in B1G Championship
Baylor beating Oklahoma State in Big12 Championship
Notre Dame's staff getting gutted

Cincy winning with style points would be good too.

It’s a binary equation if Alabama loses and UC wins.

(12-01-2021 01:00 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  It’s a binary equation if Alabama loses and UC wins.

that sound easy and great on paper, but imagine banking on a nick saban bama team to lose

You don’t have to tell me. I have a big crimson A in the back window of my ride. That is just the most likely straight line. UC could be in even if Alabama wins. There are a lot of paths as long as they beat Houston.

(12-01-2021 01:00 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  It’s a binary equation if Alabama loses and UC wins.

Alabama and Cincy can win

Michigan and Oklahoma State lose

Then Cincy and Alabama can both make the playoff.

(12-01-2021 11:53 AM)knight_02 Wrote:  Alabama is going to get beat really handily by Georgia. They'll probably miss the playoffs this year.

I would never count on Bama getting beat