(03-08-2022 10:49 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote: (03-06-2022 04:39 PM)XLance Wrote: I'm looking for ESPN to maximize their investment in the SEC and the ACC.
If the SEC goes to 18 with Miami and Florida State, it puts tremendous pressure o the B1G. All it would take to cement the North Carolina and Virginia schools would be for ESPN to guarantee reasonable compensation and the B1G would be rejected regardless of the monetary lure.
So what could the B1G do without going west?
1. invite Boston College, gives the B1G the entire NE corridor (Boston to DC)
2. invite Pitt (Notre Dame lure if to goal is to go to 20, AAU, lies directly between Ohio State and Penn State)
3. invite Kansas (AAU, basketball blueblood, links B1G to PAC).
4. invite Iowa State (AAU, highest attendance in the Big 12 w/o Oklahoma and Texas in the conference)
ACC at 10
Does the Big 12 survive? Is there still a P5 or a P2 and three dwarfs?
I must not understand what you mean by "maximize their investment in... the ACC". Removing both Florida schools would GUT the ACC.
I agree. Personally, I think ESPN should want the ACC to grab Cincy and WVU from the Big 12 and go to 9 conference games to give them a bit of a pay raise to create the gap between themselves and the Big 12/Pac-12 and try to close the gap on the B1G and SEC (obviously won't be equal). This would be an attempt to try to prevent the B1G from raiding the ACC in a decade.
The SEC (probably fantasy for at least this paragraph) maybe snag Kansas and OSU (probably won't add much value if any, but could help ESPN start a chain reaction that could benefit their network). This will weaken the Big 12, but won't kill it. This is if ESPN still has partial interest in the Big 12 at a discount potentially or if ESPN can get more West Coast/late night content from additional Big 12 expansion.
Big 12 would respond with the 4 next rumored candidates with Boise, Memphis, SMU, and USF as replacements. If they expand further, I think they could go after MWC schools (non-ESPN property) targeting at CSU, SDSU, Fresno St., and UNLV to go to 14-16 teams, but that part of expansion would probably depend on their value.
AAC, while sightly weakened, would likely target FIU, LA Tech, and Liberty to maintain 14 members with 2 geographical divisions and avoid hurting SBC value. AAC could go with FIU only though to 12 teams if they wish to maintain city schools only outside of ECU. ESPN could try to get a discount on AAC content since the AAC would lose 3 of their next best teams.
MTSU and WKU would then flee C-USA to join the MAC, which would support ESPN's weeknight content and expand the MAC footprint a bit. NMSU and UTEP would probably end up in the MWC by that point depending on Big 12 expansion while SHSU and JSU would likely return to the WAC and ASUN respectively at least in olympic sports.