(10-03-2022 10:26 AM)pablowow Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:37 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 08:13 AM)Thewavefan Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 07:08 AM)Milwaukee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 06:53 AM)Thewavefan Wrote:  USM has been a laughing stock for more than just a couple of years.

So were Rice and Tulane, but look at them now.

The point is that what a team did last year doesn't really matter any more ... if it ever did. What counts is what THIS year's team is doing on the field.

Tulane and Rice were never a laughing stock, that is a ridiculous statement. Our academics and our market make it to where we have always been viewed as a quality athletic department.

Not sure how having great academics and being in a good market mean that the athletic departments are viewed as "quality"?

IMO, Rice and Tulane have been regarded as irrelevant athletically for large swathes of the last 50 years.

Not true .. Tulane went undefeated and was as high 7th in nation in last 20 yrs.. also 3 out of 4 years of bowls last 5 yrs…

Georgetown is irrelevant for sure no FBS football and basketball is weak now…

USF do I need to go on with that one really?

Well, I was curious so I looked up the last 20 years of Tulane football results and the best record I came up with was 8-5, and that was exactly 20 years ago, in 2002. Not very impressive. Three bowls in four years? They went to those bowls with 6-5, 6-6 and 6-6 records. More than half of FBS goes to a bowl each year so IMO not impressive or indicative of relevance.

As "Bearcatmark" indicated, Tulane did go 12-0 in 1998. That was twenty-four long seasons ago, probably before a majority of current Tulane undergraduates were even born. That season's biggest win was against unranked BYU in the Liberty Bowl. I guess that's something?

Tulane has not been ranked in the top 25 pf the AP poll since that 1998 season. Before that, they had not been ranked in the AP since 1979, 19 long years before.

In the past 50 years, Tulane has had 11 winning seasons, many of them of the 7-6, 7-5, 6-5 variety, and 37 losing seasons.

Tulane has considerably more 9-loss seasons, 17 of them, than winning seasons.

So I stand by my claim that Tulane has been athletically irrelevant for "large swathes" of the past 50 years.

Just MO. And FWIW, I greatly admire Tulane as an institution.

(10-03-2022 12:41 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 10:26 AM)pablowow Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:37 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 08:13 AM)Thewavefan Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 07:08 AM)Milwaukee Wrote:  So were Rice and Tulane, but look at them now.

The point is that what a team did last year doesn't really matter any more ... if it ever did. What counts is what THIS year's team is doing on the field.

Tulane and Rice were never a laughing stock, that is a ridiculous statement. Our academics and our market make it to where we have always been viewed as a quality athletic department.

Not sure how having great academics and being in a good market mean that the athletic departments are viewed as "quality"?

IMO, Rice and Tulane have been regarded as irrelevant athletically for large swathes of the last 50 years.

Not true .. Tulane went undefeated and was as high 7th in nation in last 20 yrs.. also 3 out of 4 years of bowls last 5 yrs…

Georgetown is irrelevant for sure no FBS football and basketball is weak now…

USF do I need to go on with that one really?

Well, I was curious so I looked up the last 20 years of Tulane football results and the best record I came up with was 8-5, and that was exactly 20 years ago, in 2002. Not very impressive. Three bowls in four years? They went to those bowls with 6-5, 6-6 and 6-6 records. More than half of FBS goes to a bowl each year so IMO not impressive or indicative of relevance.

As "Bearcatmark" indicated, Tulane did go 12-0 in 1998. That was twenty-four long seasons ago, probably before a majority of current Tulane undergraduates were even born. That season's biggest win was against unranked BYU in the Liberty Bowl. I guess that's something?

Tulane has not been ranked in the top 25 pf the AP poll since that 1998 season. Before that, they had not been ranked in the AP since 1979, 19 long years before.

In the past 50 years, Tulane has had 11 winning seasons, many of them of the 7-6, 7-5, 6-5 variety, and 37 losing seasons.

Tulane has considerably more 9-loss seasons, 17 of them, than winning seasons.

So I stand by my claim that Tulane has been athletically irrelevant for "large swathes" of the past 50 years.

Just MO. And FWIW, I greatly admire Tulane as an institution.

And UCF went winless in 2015. Cinci was an absolute joke before the AAC, and Houston was a commuter school after thought. I don't see anyone saying that anymore (besides trolling). Its more about what have you done recently and committed too. Tulane will be the #2 or 3 school in AAC basketball as well. Fritz has done a good job at tulane and turned around a poor culture.

Cincy won or tied the Big East Football for many years until Senator Tubberville showed up.

(10-03-2022 05:23 PM)Greenwavedrownsacat Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 12:41 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 10:26 AM)pablowow Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:37 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 08:13 AM)Thewavefan Wrote:  Tulane and Rice were never a laughing stock, that is a ridiculous statement. Our academics and our market make it to where we have always been viewed as a quality athletic department.

Not sure how having great academics and being in a good market mean that the athletic departments are viewed as "quality"?

IMO, Rice and Tulane have been regarded as irrelevant athletically for large swathes of the last 50 years.

Not true .. Tulane went undefeated and was as high 7th in nation in last 20 yrs.. also 3 out of 4 years of bowls last 5 yrs…

Georgetown is irrelevant for sure no FBS football and basketball is weak now…

USF do I need to go on with that one really?

Well, I was curious so I looked up the last 20 years of Tulane football results and the best record I came up with was 8-5, and that was exactly 20 years ago, in 2002. Not very impressive. Three bowls in four years? They went to those bowls with 6-5, 6-6 and 6-6 records. More than half of FBS goes to a bowl each year so IMO not impressive or indicative of relevance.

As "Bearcatmark" indicated, Tulane did go 12-0 in 1998. That was twenty-four long seasons ago, probably before a majority of current Tulane undergraduates were even born. That season's biggest win was against unranked BYU in the Liberty Bowl. I guess that's something?

Tulane has not been ranked in the top 25 pf the AP poll since that 1998 season. Before that, they had not been ranked in the AP since 1979, 19 long years before.

In the past 50 years, Tulane has had 11 winning seasons, many of them of the 7-6, 7-5, 6-5 variety, and 37 losing seasons.

Tulane has considerably more 9-loss seasons, 17 of them, than winning seasons.

So I stand by my claim that Tulane has been athletically irrelevant for "large swathes" of the past 50 years.

Just MO. And FWIW, I greatly admire Tulane as an institution.

And UCF went winless in 2015. Cinci was an absolute joke before the AAC, and Houston was a commuter school after thought. I don't see anyone saying that anymore (besides trolling). Its more about what have you done recently and committed too. Tulane will be the #2 or 3 school in AAC basketball as well. Fritz has done a good job at tulane and turned around a poor culture.

Do some research FOOL!

2007 BE 10-3 Birmingham Bowl
2008 BE 11-3 Orange Bowl
2009 BE 12-1 Sugar Bowl
2011 BE 10-3 Liberty Bowl
2012 BE 10-3 Belk Bowl

(10-02-2022 12:37 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The regular season still has about to 66% to 58% to go, but a snapshot shows the early relative positions of teams for the coveted NY6 ticket.

Top Ten:
Cincy...........#16 (AAC)
UCF.............#43 (AAC)
AF...............#46 (MWC)
Appy St.......#51 (SBC)
Coast Car.....#54 (SBC)
WKU...........#55 (CUSA)
UAB............#59 (CUSA)
S. AL..........#60 (SBC)
Houston......#62 (AAC)
SMU...........#63 (AAC)

Note: James Madison is not eligible until 2023.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

Any list that has S Alabama but not Tulane is a fake list... I don't care who compiles it!

(10-03-2022 05:23 PM)Greenwavedrownsacat Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 12:41 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 10:26 AM)pablowow Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:37 AM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 08:13 AM)Thewavefan Wrote:  Tulane and Rice were never a laughing stock, that is a ridiculous statement. Our academics and our market make it to where we have always been viewed as a quality athletic department.

Not sure how having great academics and being in a good market mean that the athletic departments are viewed as "quality"?

IMO, Rice and Tulane have been regarded as irrelevant athletically for large swathes of the last 50 years.

Not true .. Tulane went undefeated and was as high 7th in nation in last 20 yrs.. also 3 out of 4 years of bowls last 5 yrs…

Georgetown is irrelevant for sure no FBS football and basketball is weak now…

USF do I need to go on with that one really?

Well, I was curious so I looked up the last 20 years of Tulane football results and the best record I came up with was 8-5, and that was exactly 20 years ago, in 2002. Not very impressive. Three bowls in four years? They went to those bowls with 6-5, 6-6 and 6-6 records. More than half of FBS goes to a bowl each year so IMO not impressive or indicative of relevance.

As "Bearcatmark" indicated, Tulane did go 12-0 in 1998. That was twenty-four long seasons ago, probably before a majority of current Tulane undergraduates were even born. That season's biggest win was against unranked BYU in the Liberty Bowl. I guess that's something?

Tulane has not been ranked in the top 25 pf the AP poll since that 1998 season. Before that, they had not been ranked in the AP since 1979, 19 long years before.

In the past 50 years, Tulane has had 11 winning seasons, many of them of the 7-6, 7-5, 6-5 variety, and 37 losing seasons.

Tulane has considerably more 9-loss seasons, 17 of them, than winning seasons.

So I stand by my claim that Tulane has been athletically irrelevant for "large swathes" of the past 50 years.

Just MO. And FWIW, I greatly admire Tulane as an institution.

And UCF went winless in 2015. Cinci was an absolute joke before the AAC, and Houston was a commuter school after thought. I don't see anyone saying that anymore (besides trolling). Its more about what have you done recently and committed too. Tulane will be the #2 or 3 school in AAC basketball as well. Fritz has done a good job at tulane and turned around a poor culture.

That’s why Michigan State hired Dantonio from UC..why Notre Dame hired Kelly and Tennessee hired Jones…because UC was a “joke”…you certainly know your football..

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

The AAC is in good position to get the NY6 spot assuming the conference Champion loses 2 or fewer total games. Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team. Take care of business this week at home against Houston and I think they put themselves in the mix.

We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

(10-03-2022 05:47 PM)GoOwls111 Wrote:  

(10-02-2022 12:37 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The regular season still has about to 66% to 58% to go, but a snapshot shows the early relative positions of teams for the coveted NY6 ticket.

Top Ten:
Cincy...........#16 (AAC)
UCF.............#43 (AAC)
AF...............#46 (MWC)
Appy St.......#51 (SBC)
Coast Car.....#54 (SBC)
WKU...........#55 (CUSA)
UAB............#59 (CUSA)
S. AL..........#60 (SBC)
Houston......#62 (AAC)
SMU...........#63 (AAC)

Note: James Madison is not eligible until 2023.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

Any list that has S Alabama but not Tulane is a fake list... I don't care who compiles it!

See post #12 for update kindly provided by Milwaukee. It should ease your agitation.

(10-03-2022 06:12 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 05:47 PM)GoOwls111 Wrote:  

(10-02-2022 12:37 PM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The regular season still has about to 66% to 58% to go, but a snapshot shows the early relative positions of teams for the coveted NY6 ticket.

Top Ten:
Cincy...........#16 (AAC)
UCF.............#43 (AAC)
AF...............#46 (MWC)
Appy St.......#51 (SBC)
Coast Car.....#54 (SBC)
WKU...........#55 (CUSA)
UAB............#59 (CUSA)
S. AL..........#60 (SBC)
Houston......#62 (AAC)
SMU...........#63 (AAC)

Note: James Madison is not eligible until 2023.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

Any list that has S Alabama but not Tulane is a fake list... I don't care who compiles it!

See post #12 for update kindly provided by Milwaukee. It should ease your agitation.

Now I feel like I will be able to get a good night sleep after all, "Jed" is always an informed contributor to this board

(10-03-2022 06:00 PM)Memphis Yankee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

The AAC is in good position to get the NY6 spot assuming the conference Champion loses 2 or fewer total games. Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team. Take care of business this week at home against Houston and I think they put themselves in the mix.

We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

Maybe... maybe not. Uc was pretty damn successful with 4 of its last 5 coaches.

Either way I wasn't trying to insult the Memphis football program, just giving my assessment of the g5 access race.

As far as Mississippi state... yes...I know. That's why I said they might be pretty good and we'll know a lot more about Memphis this week.

(10-03-2022 06:00 PM)Memphis Yankee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

The AAC is in good position to get the NY6 spot assuming the conference Champion loses 2 or fewer total games. Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team. Take care of business this week at home against Houston and I think they put themselves in the mix.

We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

Quit crying, we have lost our fair share of good coaches. There are a slew of other differences as well. whiner.

I pray that Texas keeps winning. One bad season + a phone call to Traylor and we might be the laughing stock of AAC in the future.

(10-03-2022 06:00 PM)Memphis Yankee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

The AAC is in good position to get the NY6 spot assuming the conference Champion loses 2 or fewer total games. Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team. Take care of business this week at home against Houston and I think they put themselves in the mix.

We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

Fickell has never coached outside of the state of Ohio. He's waiting for Ohio State. Or another blue blood.

(10-04-2022 04:33 PM)MemphisTigerFreak Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 06:00 PM)Memphis Yankee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

The AAC is in good position to get the NY6 spot assuming the conference Champion loses 2 or fewer total games. Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team. Take care of business this week at home against Houston and I think they put themselves in the mix.

We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

Fickell has never coached outside of the state of Ohio. He's waiting for Ohio State. Or another blue blood.

He is not waiting for anything. He is building his own legacy. Thats what people who know nothing about the program miss.

(10-04-2022 05:21 PM)rtaylor Wrote:  

(10-04-2022 04:33 PM)MemphisTigerFreak Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 06:00 PM)Memphis Yankee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 11:18 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:23 AM)TripleA Wrote:  We're not good enough to stay in the mix. Our schedule is backloaded. We have won 4 in a row over teams where we were favored.

We play Houston this week (we're currently a slight favorite), then at ECU, at Tulane, and UCF, all games where we are likely the underdog and could easily lose one or all 3. Then Tulsa and No. Alabama (we should be favored), and finishing at SMU (definite underdog).

I see at least 2 more losses, and possibly 4. We are not a threat, as it stands today.

This is my general feeling about Memphis this year, but Mississippi State might be pretty good, so I don't want to dismiss them yet. This week could tell us something.

MissState was ahead of A&M 42-17 with a couple of minutes left. 25 point lead. They scored a cheapy at the end of the game to make it look more respectable. A&M basically got beat just as bad as we did.

Look, UC would be in the same boat we're in if Fickell left after the Georgia game. UCF and Memphis lost good coaches. You didn't and that's really the only difference.

To be honest, I was surprised he didn't leave.

Fickell has never coached outside of the state of Ohio. He's waiting for Ohio State. Or another blue blood.

He is not waiting for anything. He is building his own legacy. Thats what people who know nothing about the program miss.

This thread is a hoot, for sure. I honestly think the NY6 spot this year could easily go to a 10-2 conference champion but I guess we'll see.

As for Fickell at UC: I think he would be nuts to leave as he is beloved and gets paid boatloads of cash already... but don't think that he won't leave for the right opportunity. He would, that I can promise.

(10-04-2022 05:45 PM)Ned Low Wrote:  As for Fickell at UC: I think he would be nuts to leave as he is beloved and gets paid boatloads of cash already... but don't think that he won't leave for the right opportunity. He would, that I can promise.

I mean, Lincoln Riley left Okie Soon for LA. Brian Kelly left Notre Dame for LSU. It can happen to anyone but for a handful of programs. That said, most around our program know that Fick is a different cat and this is his 6th year at the helm. He's had numerous opportunities to leave over the years and yet he still remains. He's paid very well and is about to join a better conference - with all due respect. I don't worry about it because he's already given us more seasons than any coach since Rick Minter 1994-2003.

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team...

Definitely starting to boil down to a handful of teams. Coastal is favored by Massey to finish with 10 or 11 wins.

Predicted wins:

............Massey....GAMER^...Average:

Cinci.........11..........11............11
Air Force...11..........11............11
Coastal..10 or 11.....11...........10.75
So. Ala......11...........9............10
JMU..........10..........10............10
Coastal..10 or 11.....11...........10.75
App St......10...........9.............9.5
UCF..........10...........8..............9
Tulane.....8 or 9.......9..............8.75
SMU........8 or 9.......5..............7
Boise St.....8...........8..............8
Memphis..7 or 8.......8.............7.75

https://masseyratings.com/384031/55

^http://www.realtimerpi.com/college_football/ncaaf_1060_Men.html?UCF
.

(10-04-2022 06:22 PM)Milwaukee Wrote:  

(10-03-2022 09:12 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Coastal has 5 more real tests in their last 6 games + the conference championship if they manage to lose only 1 (or 0) of those real tests. I'd be pretty shocked if they run the table. I suspect 2 losses is more likely than 0 or 1 for the Chanticleers.

Cincinnati is significantly better than the rest of the conference and is the clear favorite. But Tulane and UCF in particular could find themselves there if they can only lose 1 the rest of the way.

I guess you have to include Memphis too, but I'm more skeptical of their team...

Definitely starting to boil down to a handful of teams. Coastal is favored by Massey to finish with 10 or 11 wins.

Predicted wins:

Cinci.......11
So. Miss..11
Air Force..11
JMU........11 (would require a waiver to be bowl eligible)
Coastal....10 or 11
UCF.........10
App St.....10
Tulane......8 or 9
Boise St....8
Memphis...7 or 8


Keep an eye on Southern Mississippi.


https://masseyratings.com/384031/55
.

Where are you coming up with these predicted wins? Coastal most likely result according to Massey are 2-3 more losses

correction: Meant to write: keep an eye on Southern Alabama.

.

(10-04-2022 06:36 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Where are you coming up with these predicted wins? Coastal most likely result according to Massey are 2-3 more losses

...........Massey's*
...........Prediction:
Army.........W
Gardner......W
Buffalo........W
GA St.........W
GA So.........W
ULM...........W (68%)
ODU..........W (76%)
Marshall.....W (55%)
App. St......L (48%)^
So. Miss.....W (73%)
Virginia......W (51%)
JMU...........L (43%)

Massey predicts Coastal to win at least 10 games, but suggests that Coastal could win 11 games, since they've got better than a 40% chance to beat App. State or JMU.

*https://masseyratings.com/cf2022/1637