(04-13-2023 10:50 AM)esayem Wrote: (04-13-2023 10:21 AM)U-C-FKnights Wrote: (04-13-2023 08:44 AM)esayem Wrote: I wish some of the fanbois here could see themselves from an impartial perspective. The Pac could sign a new media deal with a GOR and they’d find ways to declare an imminent move to the Big XII!
I think it’s pretty obvious Oregon and Washington are waiting for the new Big Ten commish to get settled in hopes he can convince the presidents to invite them. Meanwhile, OU/UW are exploring deals with the Pac as contingency plans. All the while the Big XII fanbois trumpet around with pitchforks and torches lol
fanbois: you should be directing your efforts and cheering for Big Ten expansion, because that’s the only way you get any new schools that are break even anyway. Comedy gold
The actual comedy gold is that you think you are looking at this from an "impartial perspective". You have a clear anti Big 12 bias. You dismiss all the smoke around Pac 12 schools interest in the Big 12 as "fanbois" chatter despite it constantly being in the news from reputable college football reporters.
It may end up being true that no Pac schools jump to the Big 12, but don't pretend like there is no chance, and Big 12 fans are delusional for thinking it may happen.
Facts:
1. There are tons of reports from reputable sources saying the Pac 12 search for a media deal is not going well (and dragging on)
2. Confirmed that Pac university presidents have been having meetings with Yormark
3. Big 12 basically knows what they can offer from a media rights perspective
4. We don't know at this point if the Pac 12 will be able match that amount or even get close
5. There have been stories written about Pac schools interest in Big 12 by most major sports journals. Apparently the Big 12 has an awful lot of Fan Bois out there.
6. The current speculation you are in this thread deriding as delusional fanboi stuff started because sports columnist Andrew Marchand (another Big 12 Fan Boi?) mentioned a couple times recently to "Watch Colorado".
Edit: I agree there is a lot of noise out there. The speculation is wild, there are internet folks spewing guesses and hot takes for clicks, but when you filter all that out, the remaining facts support that it is at least a possibility that Pac schools could end up in the Big 12.
Why would I have anti-Big XII bias? It literally affects me 0%.
It's not even the old guard Big XII fans making noise, it's the AAC replacement crew that says the same thing over and over in a different guise. First we got to hear all about the AAC poaching the Big XII (which I strongly said was NOT going to happen—defending the Big XII lol), now it's the Big XII poaching everyone and their mother. It's the same old song and dance by the inferiority complex crew. Sorry not sorry.
What I find most funny is the replacement crew is the very reason Big XII expansion hasn't already happened. The replacements collective value is so low that adding more schools isn't going to add a bump in pay. The Pac schools aren't going to sacrifice academic allegiances and West Coast presence for that.
Otherwise, you tell me why it hasn't happened. Why is there a holdup?
Because the Pac 12 schools don't WANT to go to the Big 12. They're holding out hope that Kliavkoff will pull a rabbit out of his hat and somehow get them a good-enough TV deal.
That's looking less and less likely. But sooner or later, as the months go by with no TV contract, the chances of someone out of the half-dozen PAC schools who the Big 12 would take immediately decides to take the sure thing of $30M a year in Big 12 money rather than get stuck in a PAC that crashes out of the power-conference ranks like the old Big East did.
I don't think you're right about the value of the replacements. If the Big 12 were sitting at 8 teams, but pulled a similar TV contract, I think the PAC schools would be just as reluctant to jump.
Yes, those fanbases are battle-scarred realignment message board veterans. They've been through the New Big East flamewars, the Aresco League vs C7 drama, the "P6" years. And now they've upgraded to the Big 12. This isn't their first realignment rodeo. They know a dying P5 league when they see it, from the inside or the outside.
EDIT: This is one of the rare occassions where it's not really about the inherent value of the league, it's actually about the performance of the commissioner. Yormark counted up the number of TV windows that Fox and ESPN had available, saw that they pretty much had room for either the Big 12 *or* the PAC, and he got those windows for his league.
Meanwhile the PAC "went to market", thinking that NBC and CBS and Apple and Amazon would drive up their price. That has not happened, and now they're screwed. Not because Baylor and Kansas State are any more valuable than ORegon and Arizona State, but because the Big 12 made the correct strategic decision and the PAC 12 made the wrong decisions for a long time.