Apologies again for posting from my phone (my growing son will be getting his own computer for Christmas). Colorful standings to come later this week.

Briefly, schmolik avoids The Game to go 20-for-20 last week, securing a likely tie-breaker, if it comes down to it. Skyhawk receives our Kicked in the Buckeyes Award for investing nearly 20 more points into That School Down South than any other pollster.

I decided no dummy voter any of the last 3 weeks as a way to reward longtime posters. Of course, I am still behind 2 voters missing a week.

Have I got a shot? I've broken down the playoff spots into 2 groupings (A) Michigan + Oregon/Washington and (B) combinations of 2 of everyone else. These should match most scenarios. Judging by this, I'll pick my highest in each group to maximize my 1% chance of going from worst to first.



Not going for points. Going for the WIN!
5 Alabama
5 Washington
5 Texas
5 Michigan

Allstate Playoff Predictor
5 Michigan
4 Oregon
3 Georgia
3 Florida State
3 Texas
1 Washington
1 Alabama

Austin Mock of the Athletic
5 Michigan
4 Georgia
3 Oregon
3 Florida State
2 Texas
2 Alabama
1 Washington

1. Georgia 5
2. Michigan 5
3. Florida State 5
4. Washington 4
5. Oregon 1

UGA 5
Michigan 5
FSU 5
Oregon 5

Michigan 5
Florida State 4
Georgia 4
Oregon 4
Texas 3

Michigan 5
FSU 5
Oregon 5
Georgia 3
Texas 2

Georgia 5
Michigan 5
FSU 4
Oregon 4
Washington 1
Texas 1

(11-29-2023 12:14 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Apologies again for posting from my phone (my growing son will be getting his own computer for Christmas). Colorful standings to come later this week.

Who makes the playoff? Little has changed the last 3 weeks, but Ohio State losing has thrown one final curveball before the CCG. The Buckeyes aren’t out… well, maybe they are.

You have 20 points to allocate to teams (max 5 per team) this week. The contestant with the most season-long points given to the 4 actual playoff teams will be crowned the overall winner.

My provisional ballot
5 Georgia
5 Michigan
5 Washington
2 Florida State
1 Texas
1 Oregon
1 Alabama

No dummy vote this week. Get your Oregon/Washington votes in before kickoff or it’ll be presumed you have given them 0 this week.

Georgia 5
Michigan 5
Washington 5
Florida State 5

Georgia 5
Texas 5
Michigan 5
Washington 5

Georgia 5
Michigan 5
Washington 5
Florida State 5

Michigan 5
Georgia 4
Oregon 4
Florida State 3
Texas 2
Alabama 1
Washington 1

Are you not entertained!!! Someone is getting an award for not picking Oregon or Georgia this week.

I have detailed the 4 primary scenarios for the committee tomorrow. 6 of us humans still have a chance of coming within 10 of the winner's value. I think the only tie-breaker possibility will be in the individual awards as both Skyhawks and bullet bet the full 70 on Georgia and the Bulldogs may still make it.

I am listing the full standings here, but won't for the final awards thread, which will hopefully be posted tomorrow. Congratulations to ALL who participated this year. Not sure how/if a thread like this will run next year, but glad to have done it these two years with you.

(11-29-2023 12:14 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Have I got a shot? I've broken down the playoff spots into 2 groupings (A) Michigan + Oregon/Washington and (B) combinations of 2 of everyone else. These should match most scenarios. Judging by this, I'll pick my highest in each group to maximize my 1% chance of going from worst to first.



Not going for points. Going for the WIN!
5 Alabama
5 Washington
5 Texas
5 Michigan

I didn’t win but I went from worst to 2nd (congrats herdfan2013). A glorious Hail Mary! I’ll keep my boast here rather than in the Awards thread. I was leery most of the year with my new voting algorithm (voting based on cumulative point assignment, rather than week-by-week). It was mostly luck that got me there, but exciting this weekend.

(12-03-2023 12:41 PM)Crayton Wrote:  

(11-29-2023 12:14 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Have I got a shot? I've broken down the playoff spots into 2 groupings (A) Michigan + Oregon/Washington and (B) combinations of 2 of everyone else. These should match most scenarios. Judging by this, I'll pick my highest in each group to maximize my 1% chance of going from worst to first.



Not going for points. Going for the WIN!
5 Alabama
5 Washington
5 Texas
5 Michigan

I didn’t win but I went from worst to 2nd (congrats herdfan2013). A glorious Hail Mary! I’ll keep my boast here rather than in the Awards thread. I was leery most of the year with my new voting algorithm (voting based on cumulative point assignment, rather than week-by-week). It was mostly luck that got me there, but exciting this weekend.

I always thought UW would stumble along the way and was probably the lightest on them of anyone. I was heavier than anyone on Michigan and Texas. Two of us were all in on Georgia and everyone else much lighter. Don't think anyone went particularly heavy on Alabama after their early season loss. Had Georgia beat Alabama, I think I would have been first despite whiffing on UW.

(12-03-2023 12:56 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(12-03-2023 12:41 PM)Crayton Wrote:  

(11-29-2023 12:14 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Have I got a shot? I've broken down the playoff spots into 2 groupings (A) Michigan + Oregon/Washington and (B) combinations of 2 of everyone else. These should match most scenarios. Judging by this, I'll pick my highest in each group to maximize my 1% chance of going from worst to first.



Not going for points. Going for the WIN!
5 Alabama
5 Washington
5 Texas
5 Michigan

I didn’t win but I went from worst to 2nd (congrats herdfan2013). A glorious Hail Mary! I’ll keep my boast here rather than in the Awards thread. I was leery most of the year with my new voting algorithm (voting based on cumulative point assignment, rather than week-by-week). It was mostly luck that got me there, but exciting this weekend.

I always thought UW would stumble along the way and was probably the lightest on them of anyone. I was heavier than anyone on Michigan and Texas. Two of us were all in on Georgia and everyone else much lighter. Don't think anyone went particularly heavy on Alabama after their early season loss. Had Georgia beat Alabama, I think I would have been first despite whiffing on UW.

Yep. Georgia would have given you the win. I went light on Georgia all year, very risky, feeling certain 1-loss would have eliminated them. Lucked out in the end. I mean… “I always knew they were a paper bulldog.”

(12-03-2023 01:13 PM)Crayton Wrote:  

(12-03-2023 12:56 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(12-03-2023 12:41 PM)Crayton Wrote:  

(11-29-2023 12:14 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Have I got a shot? I've broken down the playoff spots into 2 groupings (A) Michigan + Oregon/Washington and (B) combinations of 2 of everyone else. These should match most scenarios. Judging by this, I'll pick my highest in each group to maximize my 1% chance of going from worst to first.



Not going for points. Going for the WIN!
5 Alabama
5 Washington
5 Texas
5 Michigan

I didn’t win but I went from worst to 2nd (congrats herdfan2013). A glorious Hail Mary! I’ll keep my boast here rather than in the Awards thread. I was leery most of the year with my new voting algorithm (voting based on cumulative point assignment, rather than week-by-week). It was mostly luck that got me there, but exciting this weekend.

I always thought UW would stumble along the way and was probably the lightest on them of anyone. I was heavier than anyone on Michigan and Texas. Two of us were all in on Georgia and everyone else much lighter. Don't think anyone went particularly heavy on Alabama after their early season loss. Had Georgia beat Alabama, I think I would have been first despite whiffing on UW.

Yep. Georgia would have given you the win. I went light on Georgia all year, very risky, feeling certain 1-loss would have eliminated them. Lucked out in the end. I mean… “I always knew they were a paper bulldog.”

I tried the "only pick 4 schools" that I saw last year, and from what I can tell, looking at the final chart results, that's not a winning strategy lol

Though, to be sure, USC, Ohio state, and Georgia, and in the end FSU, definitely hurt my numbers.