(03-19-2024 09:54 PM)EarthBoundMisfit Wrote: (03-18-2024 07:22 AM)Eagleonpar Wrote: (03-17-2024 12:08 PM)EarthBoundMisfit Wrote: (03-16-2024 01:13 PM)Eagleonpar Wrote: (03-16-2024 12:55 PM)Boots Wrote: Marshall would kill it at Memphis. So would Wade. Either would be the best coaches Memphis has had since Cal.
Interesting to look at Penny vs. Pastner eras…
Pastner: 7 years, 4 NCAA tournaments, 2 NCAA wins, 70% overall win percentage, 70% conference win percentage.
Penny: 6 Years, 2 NCAA Tournaments, 1 NCAA win, 68% overall win percentage, 65% conference win percentage.
Pastner > Penny per results.
Pastner - took over a squad off 4 straight sweet 16s 2 #1 seeds and 2 #2 seeds. And a long conference win streak. Pastner never won a AAC championship Won 2 ncaa games. Got destroyed the round both times
Penny - took over after 4 straight years of no ncaa. Won 1 ncaa game and was screwed out of one last year. Won an AAC championship beating the number 1 team in the country in the finals
Edit : Pastner didn’t beat a ranked team until his 5th year
Seriously think McFly think
his first year, a depleted team of mostly role players from the year before took #1 Kansas to the wire...lost by 2...which gave a lot of folks some hope for the future of him as a coach.
I'll admit to being one of the people who were all for giving him the time needed to figure it out.
That first team was NOT depleted smh
He finished 4th in the worst version of CUSA. Got beat first round of tournament. That team was loaded with good players who were part of a winning culture like Kemp, Mack , Niles and Witherspoon who had played minutes on great teams. Plus he had Elliot Williams come in. The culture was good enough to keep Joe, Tarik and Chris at home and bring in the Barton’s. Then it took him 3 years to win a tournament game with that group and 5 years to beat a top 25 team. Good grief you guys still love that clown. HE is the one that brought this program down more than even Tubby Smith and yet yall want Penny fired after missing the tournament this year? Good grief people
the only weapon they had really was Elliott. Just because guys had played minutes on great teams, did not make them great players.
The other players weren't 'star caliber' players that Memphis had grown used to like CDR, Wagner, Evans etc..they were role players.
Kemp's confidence had been shattered playing for Calipari. His only year playing under Pastner as a starter is the only year he played well. (same for Deoneal Mack. Mack's 1 year under Pastner, he averaged 10 points a game) Spoon played under Calipari...did not play well until after Cal had left for Kentucky.
Now show me where I said we should fire Penny.
I'll wait....
It's not really my fight, but I think it's just an urban legend that Pastner didn't have any talent his 1st year.
Elliott Williams, soph - McD AA; prior college starts for Duke as a frosh.
Witherspoon, soph - 4* recruit; some prior starts.
Doneal, senior - 4* recruit; avg 7 pts for the '08 team; started for the '09 team; one of the most prolific 3-pt shooters in program history.
Sallie, senior - Laurinburg prep grad.
Kemp, senior - 4* recruit; 6th man for '08 team; numerous prior starts.
Coleman, junior - highly sought juco.
PHN, senior - some starts on the '09 team.
DJ Stephens, fresh.
Angel Garcia, soph.
Drew Barham, fresh.
That's a solid 7-deep, with another 3 young decent bench guys. Should have been good enough to make the NCAA. Just lost all the big non-con games Cal had setup (a trend under Josh), and couldn't get past UTEP.
As for results, NCAA success is a good metric - but not the only metric. And it's so dependent on how "they" view whatever version of the conference we are in at the moment. Ultimately, it's still uneven with Josh having 7 postseasons and Penny only 5 postseason opportunities. Besides, who actually got us closest to the coveted Sweet 16? Certainly not Josh as we got embarrassed in his two 2nd round games.
Another metric is KenPom ratings. Josh averaged a rating of 55 over his 7 years. Penny has averaged KP of 44. This, even considering the entirely different states of the program when each took over.
And then there is the benchmark of actually beating good teams. Josh was 5-26 against the top 25. He just couldn't win big games. Penny is 12-18. That is pretty strong. For comparison, Cal's final 7 years (when things were rolling) were 21-27.
Penny has done some good things to bring us back. This year was a setback - give him a chance to recover from an off year.