(04-22-2024 12:09 PM)micman Wrote: (04-22-2024 10:57 AM)Claw Wrote: Well, ole Cal is getting some help bringing his KY recruits with him to Arkansas.
Quote:“Jerry Jones is reportedly offering DOUBLE whatever the Kentucky commits were making to come to Arkansas
Report: Jerry Jones makes lucrative offer to Kentucky commits to come to Arkansas
Actually in this day and age, I think that the traditional P4 basketball schools that are weak in football (Kentucky, Kansas, Duke, Indiana) may soon face a reckoning. The cost of basketball (including NIL) is insignificant compared to the cost of football. We've already seen where now, Auburn and Ole Miss are willing to spend as much as us on basketball. We may be to a point where they're willing to spend as much as Kentucky, Kansas, and Duke. Add in the assumption that basketball coaches at football schools typically don't feel as much pressure as at basketball schools. It may soon be very hard for basketball schools to compete with football schools.
There's no such thing as a basketball school anymore when it comes to the B1G and the SEC. You should research (my apologies if you already have, because I'm not saying this to come across like an arrogant jerk) how much NIL is being spent by each of the three universities you mentioned EXCEPT Duke, which doesn't get nearly as much money from football revenues as the other three. And it's why Clemson and Florida State want out of the ACC.
And ACC basketball schools are going to be in decline very soon if their football teams can't get the kind of money to compete with the B1G and the SEC money they're getting.
I predict (feel free to mark the post-- and I actually hope I'm wrong) that no ACC team is going to win another Basketball championship for the next 10 years.
On the other hand, IU is doing the best job so far at spending NIL to get a good basketball team again. They may actually become relevant again.
And UK will surprise next year. Before all is said and done, they'll have a basketball team bought and paid for that will definitely make it past the first round of March Madness this next year. And it'll be due to donors that were offended by CAL who are already ponying up millions in NIL, since he's now gone, that they were already donating to the football program.
The TV deals that the SEC and B1G make them both super-leagues for getting more NIL money (like IU is getting now in basketball) based on their football league revenue deals.
The rich are getting richer, and the poor (unfortunately) are going to be getting poorer. And what defines the rich is being in the right football conference.
The only reason Cal might even have a chance to win at Arkansas, is because it's a football school, in the SEC, and the NIL flows to all programs. (And it doesn't hurt that Jerry Jones, the Tyson Chicken guy, and the Waltons are contributors).
But the only reason I don't see Arkansas winning any basketball championships is simply because of Calipari's lack of on court coaching (like blowing a nine point lead in the last two minutes of a National Championship game), will probably still never allow him to get a second championship. There's never been a guy who can get more talent and squander it as a coach, then have that talent end up being superstars in the NBA where they're constantly in the mix for championships (because they have people who can coach, and their talent isn't being squandered by Cal). Carter Knox just re-committed to play for Cal. And everything he said was related to how Cal promised to make him a Pro. The one and dones he gets will play their year struggling to win their first NCAA Madness game, just like what has happened at UK the last five years, because this type of success isn't successful any more. NIL has created a completely new ballgame and Cal's way of success is going to relegate him to the likes of Tubby Smith.
And I'll add one more prediction. The name of biggest badass most currently admired basketball school that's going to have a hard time VERY soon maintaining relevancy, because of the very fact it's not in a decent football conference (and won't be because it's football team sucks) : UConn. Maybe he'll get his three-peat. But it's an anomaly. It won't last, just like UCLA wouldn't have ever had a chance to win another championship it if hadn't been recruited into the B1G.
When the two super football conferences decide to part ways with the NCAA, and perhaps the other two power four follow, then March Madness games, for the schools still tied into the NCAA, will be the new NIT tournament.
Like it or not (and hope I'm wrong), but that's where I see things are heading.