(01-10-2018 06:58 PM)Dawgxas Wrote: (01-10-2018 06:36 PM)slhNavy91 Wrote: (01-10-2018 06:26 PM)Dawgxas Wrote: (01-10-2018 06:16 PM)slhNavy91 Wrote: (01-10-2018 06:09 PM)Dawgxas Wrote: What's really funny is that Tech beat the AAC runner-up in a bowl game just last year
When the AAC runner-up is missing almost half the starters from the team that won the division in October and November, the CUSA runner-up can eke out a last second field goal win.
Nine months later, that AAC runner-up healed up beats the eventual CUSA runaway champ by three scores, but goes 4-4 in AAC.
Similarly, another 4-4 AAC team beates the other CUSA division winner by three scores.
But when they have no coaching staff, plays are called by a grad assistant, the interim coach the players were lobbying for departs, so that the new head coach knowing neither the terminology of the team's system nor the players' names is on the sideline...then a CUSA team can beat them badly.
That sums up the difference - you need the direst of circumstances for the AAC team to get these LaTech/CUSA wins of which you are SO proud.
Meanwhile, 32-16 over 3 years (yes, sunshine, bowls included) over the G4.
Yes we all know about the AAC the league of excuses, Memphis excuse for losing to WKU last Year, USF excuse for losing to WKU in 2015, SMU excuse for losing 42-3 to Tech, Houston excuse for getting whipped by SDSU and on on on on on
The better team won that day plain and simple, Personally I think excuses are for losers and each must own his victories and losses
BTW Tech had 52 players on the team injured some time during the season this year. Injuries are a part of the game
NAVY is truly a plug a play system, triple option that doesn't rely on the athleticism abilities of few playermakers like most G5 colleges rely on
Not an excuse. Said it going back to the day of the game - good win LaTech and congratulations.
What I am saying is that it is not a valid dataset supporting your argument of equality. Compared to your 52 injuries, Navy lost 108 GAMES from starters/key contributors that year. I've listed in another thread the nearly half of starters on O and D who were there in October and not on 23 December. It's just not data to be used in any real comparison.
Just like the SMU case - which is better data from which to draw conclusion: team at strength, or team with GA calling plays?
That's what I am saying - you have cherrypicked terrible examples from an analytical standpoint, and choose to ignore the big, valid dataset of 32-16.
Here's another valid dataset: the other G5 conferences are 10-2 versus the AAC in bowl games
The top G5 teams are better than the AAC top teams.
And according to your dataset the bottom G5 teams are worse than the bottom AAC teams.
I will weigh in here one more time.
You WANT 2-10 bowl record to be the most important, most significant thing. You WANT that to be considered to the exclusion of 30-6 in the reguar season. That's upside down.
BOWLS are LESS significant than regular season. 1) Sample size. 12 datapoints is WAY less valid than 48 datapoints. That's basic stats. It is obvious that you don't math much, but that is pretty basic.
2) Variability. Wholesale coaching staff turnover is one factor. That's at least two high profile losses for Herman and Morris leaving, I don't know about Fuente, etc. Also, believe it or not, these are still exhibition games outside the CFP and the approach of staffs and players varies greatly.
I understand why you want bowls to have outsized importance: in another thread we've dissected that bowls are most G4s' ONLY viewership over 1 million; bowls are only 2 or 3 of the top ten AAC games. YOUR emotional investment in the least important part of the college football season doesnt make it more statistically significant.
So the regular season is more valid just by sample size. You WANT to frame that as G4 bottom dwellers, but that is just not true. Regular season 30-6, this year is a typical 10-4. Of those 10 wins this year, only TWO were against teams with losing G4-in-conference records. The 8 wins against .500+ G4s included CUSA champ, CUSA div champ, CUSA div runnerup, SunBelt Runnerup, ALL by middle of the pack AAC teams. The losses? In fact were AAC bottom dwellers.
What you WANT to be true isn't. Sorry.
Again, 2-10 <<<< 32-16 < 7-6 < 3-0