(10-04-2022 06:06 AM)Skyhawk Wrote: I think UConn has a chance at the ACC once the southern schools are poached by the SEC and/or B10
At a minimum, I think these 5 are likely gone:
FSU
Clemson
NC
NC state
VA
With others likely as well
But just doing a backfill of 9 for 5, to get to 18 (17+1+1)
Boston College
UConn
Temple
Syracuse
Pittsburgh
West Virginia
Virginia Tech
Duke
East Carolina
Wake Forest
Georgia Tech
Cincinnati
Louisville
Memphis
Miami
UCF
USF
Navy – fb
Notre Dame - non-fb
Why 18? Because I think 2 or more of the above are also likely poached, but it's very debate-able which those would be. So just listing them all.
These additions are are basically either former Big east schools or were on the B12's short list.
I think UConn would seem to fit in here just fine
How many ACC teams are poached by the SEC/B1G is well down the road with the GoR in place until 2036. I predict it won't be challenged until the earliest in 2030 and at the latest 2034.
By then I suspect the B1G will already be at 20 with the additions of Oregon, Washington, and Stanford with the last program being either ND or Cal.
I just don't see the B1G taking any program that isn't AAU (with the exception of ND and quite possibly FSU) - which means the ACC's programs likely to be considered are from amongst UNC, UVA, GT, Duke, and with a possible exception FSU.
As I have theorized in other posts I believe ESPN will fight to keep control of its Southeastern holdings within its two exclusive power conferences the SEC and the ACC.
ESPN/ABC which is under siege by both old (FOX, NBC, CBS) and new (Amazon, possibly Apple) competitors in the sports market as well as parent company Disney under siege by Wall Street who want the Mouse to divest itself of ESPN (which I personally don't see Chapek doing that for at least another decade unless Apple makes them an offer they can't refuse) - will do whatever they have to keep the B1G away from FSU and UNC primarily and by extension Clemson, GT, and UVA.
I am assuming (and I think it's a reasonable if not guaranteed assumption - I have been known to be wrong before) that the B1G will not pursue VT and NC State. But since I don't see ESPN giving the ACC SEC type monies, that means they will have to somehow at minimum facilitate FSU and UNC to the SEC where they can get SEC type $$$ and therefore not in the B1G.
That leaves 2 spots open to get the SEC to 20 (which I believe the B1G will reach that number prior to this) and those 2 programs are likely to be ACC programs. I have proposed those remaining two teams as being UVA and Duke but I readily admit it could just as easily be Clemson and UVA or GT.
Note: Why Duke? - I see the SEC/ESPN as likely going to play the LONG game - just look at the SEC's record in being a head of the curve as far back as when they left the Southern Conference to form the SEC, went down to 10 over time, then expanding to 12 in the 1990s for purposes of a conference title game, expanding again with Texas A&M to get into Texas, and the recent expansion with Texas and OU. As for ESPN its road to become the sports juggernaut is quite a story as well.
I see taking Duke along with UNC to add to the likes of Kentucky, Tennessee, and LSU ensures the SEC will be a major basketball conference for the time ahead should the NCAA men's bb tourney also fall under the jurisdiction of the Power 2 Conferences. But that is probably a stretch.
Anyway, my apologies for this long-winded post.
Cheers,
Neil