In his latest version posted today, Lunardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories. We are far from being in according to Lunardi.

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

Well, we are currently in 6th place in the conference standings.

Win the next two games and we’ll be listed as in next week. Haven’t played anyone since our losing streak.

(02-13-2024 02:29 PM)oruvoice Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

Well, we are currently in 6th place in the conference standings.

I’m not saying I don’t think it’s justified. The original post left some ambiguity as to whether we were in or out.

(02-13-2024 02:32 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:29 PM)oruvoice Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

Well, we are currently in 6th place in the conference standings.

I’m not saying I don’t think it’s justified. The original post left some ambiguity as to whether we were in or out.

Ah, ok. I see.

Pretty much got to win out in the regular season, with maybe one L at FAU. Or, win the conference tourney. It's crazy to think we would have been in this spot a few weeks ago.

It may be too late in the season now, but we could improve our tournament chances by not only winning games, but winning by large margins and improving our offensive efficiency. Currently, we are 82nd in scoring margin and 87th in offensive efficiency...frankly, I don't see us getting much better than 70th in either category, but every little bit would help.

Ah, who am I kidding? I think we have to reach 24 regular season wins and then make the AAC tournament finals to get in the dance. Stranger things have happened.

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

He gives the current conference leaders the AQ's. Makes no "bracketologist" predictions on schedules or anything else. Which is a consistent process - but flawed. I think if this was my job and reputation, I'd build more into than that.

So he has USF as the AQ and "has" to put FAU in. He probably models us as a 2-bid league - although he would never admit to slotting conferences in the bracket. Thus, we are out.

It's silly that he has Seton Hall listed as first 4 out, without a Memphis mention though. Seton Hall's resume is trash.

(02-13-2024 04:33 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

He gives the current conference leaders the AQ's. Makes no "bracketologist" predictions on schedules or anything else. Which is a consistent process - but flawed. I think if this was my job and reputation, I'd build more into than that.

So he has USF as the AQ and "has" to put FAU in. He probably models us as a 2-bid league - although he would never admit to slotting conferences in the bracket. Thus, we are out.

It's silly that he has Seton Hall listed as first 4 out, without a Memphis mention though. Seton Hall's resume is trash.

But because they are in the Big East, that is all that matters....

(02-13-2024 04:40 PM)former guest Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 04:33 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

He gives the current conference leaders the AQ's. Makes no "bracketologist" predictions on schedules or anything else. Which is a consistent process - but flawed. I think if this was my job and reputation, I'd build more into than that.

So he has USF as the AQ and "has" to put FAU in. He probably models us as a 2-bid league - although he would never admit to slotting conferences in the bracket. Thus, we are out.

It's silly that he has Seton Hall listed as first 4 out, without a Memphis mention though. Seton Hall's resume is trash.

But because they are in the Big East, that is all that matters....

They don't have a home Quad 4 loss.

Many here can't comprehend just how devastating the home loss to Rice actually was.

(02-13-2024 04:33 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

He gives the current conference leaders the AQ's. Makes no "bracketologist" predictions on schedules or anything else. Which is a consistent process - but flawed. I think if this was my job and reputation, I'd build more into than that.

So he has USF as the AQ and "has" to put FAU in. He probably models us as a 2-bid league - although he would never admit to slotting conferences in the bracket. Thus, we are out.

It's silly that he has Seton Hall listed as first 4 out, without a Memphis mention though. Seton Hall's resume is trash.

They have wins against #1 Uconn and #4 Marquette plus two other Quad 1 wins. plus they have 0 Q4 losses

(02-14-2024 02:24 AM)Alcalde2 Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 04:33 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:19 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  

(02-13-2024 02:17 PM)tigerjoe67 Wrote:  In his latest version posted today, Linardi no longer has Memphis in the "last out" categories.

More specifically, we're not even listed in the tournament. He has the AAC as a two-bid league with South Florida as AQ and FAU getting the second slot.

https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/...redictions

He gives the current conference leaders the AQ's. Makes no "bracketologist" predictions on schedules or anything else. Which is a consistent process - but flawed. I think if this was my job and reputation, I'd build more into than that.

So he has USF as the AQ and "has" to put FAU in. He probably models us as a 2-bid league - although he would never admit to slotting conferences in the bracket. Thus, we are out.

It's silly that he has Seton Hall listed as first 4 out, without a Memphis mention though. Seton Hall's resume is trash.

They have wins against #1 Uconn and #4 Marquette plus two other Quad 1 wins. plus they have 0 Q4 losses

They do. They've also got two Q3 losses, and only have a winning record in Q4. So the NET still has them at 76. You can't really use part of the NET without using the entirety.

The committee gets 4 ratings services, plus their "eye test". In all 4 ratings they are behind Memphis, and with an avg rating of 68.

This team losing to the teams it has lost to does not deserve to get in the tourney unless they win out the rest of the season including the conference tourney.

Tough life lessons for a bunch of kids who can't get out of the way of their egos.

The made their bed so go lay in it.

If we are still outside looking in at this years tournament Penny needs to set aside his own ego and cut all the BS about doing this because he loves the city. He loves being a head coach in a D1 hoops school. And I get it, I would too but the fact that he loves the city is secondary. If we miss out this year he should step aside for the good of the program and the city he loves. Hell, Stansbury is a much better tactician. Keep Penny as a recruiter, it's what he's best at. Hell, even naming someone co-head coach would be a step in the right direction as long as it's a coach who can coach in game.

I still love the guy as I'm sure most fans do. I'd like to maintain that.

(02-15-2024 07:23 AM)TigerBlue4Ever Wrote:  If we are still outside looking in at this years tournament Penny needs to set aside his own ego and cut all the BS about doing this because he loves the city. He loves being a head coach in a D1 hoops school. And I get it, I would too but the fact that he loves the city is secondary. If we miss out this year he should step aside for the good of the program and the city he loves. Hell, Stansbury is a much better tactician. Keep Penny as a recruiter, it's what he's best at. Hell, even naming someone co-head coach would be a step in the right direction as long as it's a coach who can coach in game.

I still love the guy as I'm sure most fans do. I'd like to maintain that.

I’m not ready for that yet but he needs to change how he subs

(02-14-2024 10:05 PM)mapdude Wrote:  This team losing to the teams it has lost to does not deserve to get in the tourney unless they win out the rest of the season including the conference tourney.

Tough life lessons for a bunch of kids who can't get out of the way of their egos.

The made their bed so go lay in it.

That might be true in a bubble. But the truth is MANY teams have taken bad losses this year - more so than any other year. And they have to put 68 teams in the tourney.

Do you really think we are not one of the top 68 teams in the country - looking at the entire season and not just a 1-month period?

(02-15-2024 07:23 AM)TigerBlue4Ever Wrote:  If we are still outside looking in at this years tournament Penny needs to set aside his own ego and cut all the BS about doing this because he loves the city. He loves being a head coach in a D1 hoops school. And I get it, I would too but the fact that he loves the city is secondary. If we miss out this year he should step aside for the good of the program and the city he loves. Hell, Stansbury is a much better tactician. Keep Penny as a recruiter, it's what he's best at. Hell, even naming someone co-head coach would be a step in the right direction as long as it's a coach who can coach in game.

I still love the guy as I'm sure most fans do. I'd like to maintain that.

Way too far too soon.

The program was in a ditch when he took it over, and it's improved every year since he's been in control. If he misses the tourney this year it's a certain step backwards, and he needs to do some serious reflection. But firing after one off year? No way.

And Stansbury would be a terrible alternative. Good player-getter, bad bench coach. Look at his record after 21 years as a HC. 6 NCAA tourneys, never past the round of 32. If Penny's 40% NCAA qualification is not good enough for Memphis fans, then Slick Rick's 29% success rate sure would not be.

Once again Stansbury is no tactition. Don’t know why everyone thinks that. He’s a recruiter

The biggest problem we have is our conference...it has a distinct lack of clout . And no coach is gonna change that.

Even the once lowly Mountain West is tripling us...lol.

Big 12: 9
SEC: 9
Big Ten: 6
Mountain West: 6
Big East: 4
ACC: 4
Pac-12: 3
American: 2
Atlantic 10: 2

It’s not the 68 best teams and never has been.

But id sure like Memphis to get in and make a few more sweet 16 or better runs in the next few years before the power conf schools tell the NCAA to go jump and have their own 68 team postseason tournament. Same as we need Silverfield to get us in that 12 team playoff before the G6 opportunity is phased out. At least just to say we made it.

Once all that happens with the CFP and the basketball tournament it won’t matter who’s our coach, what conf we’re in, etc.