Quote: Mongo...let's rehash your "way out there" conference predictions inthe way the dominos would fall...
I'll play along, my friend... after all, this is just "what if" stuff, anyways..
Quote:The ACC would have started by taking Rutgers (why?) and South Carolina. That would leave both the Big East and the SEC to fill a spot.
Why Rutgers...? IMHO...
1. State university with
some similarities, non-athletic, with North Carolina. Also, Duke has a huge following in NJ, as we all know.
2. The fact that the ACC asked East Rutherford, NJ to submit a proposal request for its upcoming title game has me wondering if Swofford is up to something. I don't think the ACC is done expanding...
Quote:Then you're assuming that the SEC could entice the Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas A&M.
If you were a leading SEC official and could make a huge splash, weaken one conference (Big XII) while bypassing or at least catching up to another (ACC), wouldn't you entice those three schools? I sure would.
Quote:Then the BE would add Memphis and Temple to get to 9.
Memphis, definitely. I'm all over that concept. Temple, I just tossed out there because I don't see another outfit that brings anything.
Quote:My thoughts/questions?
1. IF (that is a big if) the ACC were to expand to 14, why Rutgers and not Syracuse? The Orangemen were one of the original targets until VA's govenor intervened. Why wouldn't the ACC revisit their original logic?
Rutgers = "Northern NJ and New York city", plus Syracuse kinda burned its bridge with the ACC.
Quote:2. Why would USC leave the SEC? Last I heard, the SEC is still the most proifitable home for the Gamecocks and the SEC has such a stranglehold on the South that I don't really see that changing (especially in an era when the South is one of the fastest growing regions in the country).
This is purely spectulative, but let me try...
It all depends on who's making more money in 5 years. Now that the ACC has virtually caught up to the SEC (w/o Miami and VT), and has bypassed them in terms of "per school" distribution, one has to wonder if any eastern SEC school would look at the ACC and wonder, "hmmm..". We may not ever hear about it, but I'd bet good money it'll happen behind the seasons...
Quote:3. Let's assume the ACC gets those teams. The SEC has eyed the Texas teams for awhile, but would they leave? That would be a lateral move to a conference that is further away from them.
If the Big XII continues to lose money. The Orlando Sentinel had a report outlining how much revenue each conference distributed and how much each member received. The first thing that struck me was the fact the Big XII was falling behind the SEC, ACC and Big Ten, and if this trend continues, anything is possible.
Quote:4. I really doubt the Sooners would leave...they'd probably watch the Texas teams go bye-bye and use the opportunity to reinstate their annual rivalry with Nebraska sice they would have the Big 12 by the nads.
Depends on who's making more dollars.
One of the things I pay attention to is who's playing who... a few years ago here in ACC land, we started seeing curious matchups with Syracuse, and Boston College, and wondered... "hmmmm". Well, guess who the ACC originially targeted.
The recent Oklahoma-Alabama series, as well as the Arkansas-Texas series is giving me that "Hmmm" feeling, as in, "Let's test the market to see how well these games play out. If they do well, we may be onto something."
Quote:5. The Big 12 would have to respond...they've been eyeing Arkansas...meaning the SEC would have another spot to fill. The Big 12 would also look at Colorado State and maybe BYU. (Rumors in Texas are that BYU was originally slated when the Big 8 went from 8 to 12, but Ann Richards, the govenor of Texas at the time wouldn't allow the state schools to go w/o Baylor)
As you doubt OU would leave, I doubt Arkansas would leave its lucrative perch among the SEC. They make more $$$ in the SEC than they would in the Big XII.
The worse thing the Big XII did was align its divisions North-South, against the Big Ten and the SEC, because what's happening now is that, indirectly, the Big XII North competes against the Big Ten, and the same goes for the Big XII South and the SEC. And, unfortunately for the Big XII, they're losing those battles, as the revenue dollars indicate.
Quote:6. Would the BE invite Temple back without their basketball program? If Cheney's no longer running the show, they'd probably come over for all sports.
Your guess is as good as mine....
Quote:7. If you consider the above points...where would Memphis fall? SEC or Big East? If the goal is 14 teams, the SEC could, theoretically, need more teams if they were to lose Arkansas and USC and only add Texas and A&M...that would leave them at 12. WVU, Memphis, Louisville, UCF, any possibly ECU could lead the pack for SEC membership.
Memphis is a natural fit with the new Big East.
Note: Not saying this to dig at you, but....
The SEC already has a presence in Memphis, so adding Memphis for the sake of adding them makes no sense. However, moving into Texas is damn near logical for the SEC.
TV execs would fall all over themselves for the following matchups:
- Texas v. Florida
- Auburn v. Texas A&M
- Oklahoma v. Georgia
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- Louisville may sniff the SEC in my grandchildrens' lifetime.
- West Virginia is "interesting", but personally, I think it's a longshot.
- Central Fredo and East Carolina.. nope.
Quote:Wow, I could easily go on for awhile with all the "what ifs"...let's just agree that all this BS is a mess and wait nervously for the time when more shakeups occur.
You're on your own there... :D