mj4life
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RE: Honest Question
(12-09-2012 03:15 PM)nzmorange Wrote: (12-09-2012 02:57 PM)mj4life Wrote: (12-09-2012 02:18 PM)nzmorange Wrote: (12-09-2012 02:03 PM)Hokie Mark Wrote: (12-09-2012 10:54 AM)tj_2009 Wrote: I don't think the current membership of ACC teams will stick around.
Here's why:
The B1G conference will generate too much income with their cable TV network for the ACC to compete. If they offer any of the following schools they will leave:
- Syracuse, BC, Pittsburgh
The SEC is developing a network so their income will also increase. I think if they offer any of the following schools, these schools will leave too:
- Clemson, FSU, GT, Miami
I do not think the Big XII is as big a threat in that they will earn more money than the ACC but not enough to justify the buyout of $50 million.
I think the Virginia schools and North Carolina schools will stay together as they are the core of the ACC.
However, you forgot to add:
The B1G will never offer Syracuse or Pittsburgh
The SEC will never offer Clemson, FSU, GT or Miami
So if you are correct about VA and NC schools, then the only flight risk is BC. Somehow, that's ok with me.
How do you figure? I can see schools like Iowa not being too enthused to play Syracuse, but I can see schools like Iowa being WAY less enthused about playing BC. Don't get me wrong, I love the idea of having BC in my conference. But, unlike Iowa fans, BC is only a state away from my school and has a long history with my school. If the B1G added RU and UMD to make PSU happy, then I think Pitt and SU are possibilities. Joe Pa is dead and Pitt and PSU are starting to play each other again. Also, G*d knows that RU will want SU, so they don't feel like they are on an island. I have also yet to hear a reason (that makes sense) why the SEC wouldn't eventually want FSU. I can see not wanting to elevate Clemson or GT, but FSU is already elite, and I don't think that's going to change. I agree about Miami though. They are a great school with awesome potential (see Miami from 1980-2001), but I don't see the SEC getting too excited about a private school with good academics.
let me help you out, the SEC already owns the state of F lorida,Georgia & South Carolina, so adding FSU,Clemson or G.Tech add nothing. second & this is more important, Georgia,South Carolina & Florida all hate their rivals & will do everything in their power to keep any advantage they have over them. If Auburn wasn't already in the SEC them Bama would freeze them out to. the competition between these schools is a whole lot deeper than maybe some of our northern members understand
What do you mean they "own Florida?" I can assure you that they don't. My buddy has a house there, and he is not "the SEC." The SEC might have a presence there, but so what? If FSU brings more fan interest than the other schools who want to be in the SEC, and the SEC wants to add a school, then if the SEC wants to maximize revenues, they will add FSU. I only see two reasons why they wouldn't. The first reason is if they think adding a school in another state will increase the value of the conference as a whole because it will elevate the level of play conference-wide, because good players from that state will play for teams in the conference. However, the SEC doesn't have any problems recruiting in any neighboring states, so that point is a mute point. And, the second reason is that if the SEC believes that some other school has more upside than FSU, then they might bet that conference affiliation will cause that school to realize their potential. So, they might add that school. But, I don't see any two schools in the area that have the upside to surpass FSU. Yes, I understand that the SEC might gamble that any unaffiliated sports fans likely to allign with FSU are also likely to align with UF and low ball FSU's relevant growth potential, but even if they do that, what two schools are a better choice? FSU brings a proven product (in both football, which is the big bread winner, and basketball, which is great programming for a TV network) and a solid (passionate) fan base that watches TV. The large and pasisonate fan base will help the SEC demand high carriage charges, and the large fan base that watches TV and FSU's proven product on the firld/court will be great for ratings, which will improve revenues from comemrcials. Throw in the fact that adding FSU will help the SEC's already good football reputation, and SEC recruiting might even improve (a little), which only helps FSU's cause. If the SEC decides to spend the cost of expanding (i.e. dilluting the relationship between schools), the I don't see why FSU is off the list. I have yet to hear a valid reason that is well grounded in logic.
Also, "hate rivals" are a good thing. Think of how much money SU v. UCONN/GU and Duke v. UNC/UMD has made over the years. PSU even threatened to leave the B1G, because they lacked hated rivals. What you said doesn't make sense.
they own the state of florida in the sense that their network will have guranteed coverage state wide, same as GA & SC. The reasoning is not valid from your point of view, so theirs nothing i can say that's going to change your mind.
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