(12-30-2019 07:27 AM)TuckerGnat Wrote: (12-30-2019 05:01 AM)toddjnsn Wrote: Quote:There is a stronger chance a P4 happens before a P6 happens.
I agree somewhat. The combination of the B12 wanting to expand to the "normal" 12 range, while other P5s may want to (over) expand -- it will strip MW/AAC of it's most marketable teams. Which makes it Less of a chance for a P6 to form in any recent history.
As far as P4 is concerned? I don't really agree. I COULD see the B12 potentially crumbling if Texas & OU get stripped from the B12 into the P12 or SEC. Especially if another team gets stripped too.
But I would then see the B12 wanting to basically make another P5 out of it -- taking their remaining 6-8 teams + the best 2-4 teams from MW/AAC.
I don't think either Texas or Oklahoma wants to leave the B12. But if they do, certainly the remaining programs would invite the best available teams into a watered-down B12. Those would probably be UCF, USF, Cincy & Memphis to get back up to 12.
That would not guarantee, however, that the new B12 would be P6, though I wouldn't count them out. It's also possible that one of the remaining schools might not like the new conference and go indy. I could see WVU doing that.
I think what happens to the P6 could, as you say, well depend on Texas and Oklahoma. However, the could as likely form a new merge conference with select schools in the PAC-12. USC isn’t and shouldn’t be happy with the state of the league. Nor is Oregon.
One could easily see: USC, UCLA, Cal, Stanford, Oregon, Washington, Utah, and AZ/AZ State forming a western wing of a merged conference.
Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Colorado, Kansas, (Nebraska?) form the eastern part with TCU/Baylor/Oklahoma State/Houston fighting for the remaining 2-3 spots.
If I’m CBS, I’m approaching these set of schools to replace the SEC. I would propose an 8 game schedule which allows Washington, Oregon, Utah, Arizona etc... to maintain their annual rivalry games.
Should that occur Washington State, Oregon State, Arizona/Arizona State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Iowa State, West Virginia would be likely working to form a new best of rest conference. I am assuming the schools will want to stay in CA and Texas, stay regional, have travel pairs.
Possible:
West: Washington State, Oregon State, Fresno State, San Diego State, Arizona State, Boise State, BYU, UNLV
East: Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Houston, SMU, Iowa State, Cincinnati, West Virginia, Colorado State
If I’m CBS I sign this league also and make sure I promote each weekend one of: Oklahoma/Oklahoma State, Washington/Washington State, Oregon/Oregon State, Arizona/Arizona State, Colorado/Colorado State, BYU/Utah, Kansas/Kansas State, TCU/SMU in the Friday night “Betrayal/hatred slot”. I might even manufacture Cal/Fresno State, UCLA/San Diego State, Houston/Texas as those schools have no love either. That’s 11 games that would have real animosity. Animosity drives interest.
So your slot is Friday Night CBSSports Animosity Night, Saturday noon PST Eastern wing OTA, Saturday 4:30 PST Western Wing OTA, Left over East wing CBSSports, 7:30 West wing left over west.