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RE: TV $ and Realignment Prediction
(07-09-2018 11:32 AM)ken d Wrote: (07-08-2018 06:59 PM)Kittonhead Wrote: (07-08-2018 06:55 PM)Attackcoog Wrote: (07-08-2018 06:26 PM)esayem Wrote: The C-USA-MWC merger never happened and neither will the AAC-MWC merger. Our country's geography isn't changing, folks.
I'd argue the CUSA-MW merger should have happened. It would have likley been a net plus for both groups (it definitely would have been a better outcome for the CUSA legacy teams).
Going bigger is a plus for basketball.
If the quality is going to be 2 NCAA tournament teams per 10, having 20 teams means you'll send 4 into the NCAA tournament. There is a lot more prestige attached to a conference that places 4 into the NCAA tourney rather than 2 which would translate into future recruiting.
Which is better - two 10 team conferences with one NCAA bid each, or one 20 team conference with one bid total? That may be a slight exaggeration, but I'd guess that there would only be one bid more often than there would be four bids.
They should have done the merger but remained two conferences. They could combine administrative functions and TV contracts. But then, maybe it wasn't beneficial for the MWC to do it with what remained of CUSA. A CUSA-MAC merger might have been beneficial for both if the MAC hadn't just signed a TV deal to 2027. The MAC may be killing itself with too many T-W games. A made for TV program does not generate the ties of actually having people in the stands. NIU has done very well on the field the past few years, but their stands are emptying out.
The MAC's TV started the T/W games in 2004, but it has massively expanded. ( http://www.daily-chronicle.com/2017/11/1...ayxtwo3/).
There's been a slight downward trend in attendance, but it becomes significant when you exclude the 3 historically dismal attendance schools (Kent, EMU, Akron). The first column is the average for the 12 current members by year. The second column excludes those 3.
2017 15,323 15,154
2016 15,877 16,846
2015 15,710 16,996
2014 15,352 16,276
2013 16,530 17,715
2012 15,125 16,714
2011 15,829 17,596
2010 15,318 15,733
2009 16,156 17,330
2008 16,906 17,660
2007 15,345 16,806
2006 17,886 18,412
2005 14,309 16,549
2004 16,738 17,527
2003 16,742 18,590
2002 15,988 17,711
2001 16,693 18,648
2000 15,116 17,028
1999 15,953 18,442
1998 16,000 18,208
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