(09-18-2021 12:06 AM)TOPSTRAIGHT Wrote: IF we lose members (probable)-- What action should we take?
One thought- If you only take one will the SBC take the other?
(For all sport membership)
I know many have had their objections over the Flames- but they have been very successful and we could be in a tough spot-- so they should be considered IMO.
It will also make Marshall, ODU, and Charlotte glad to have more East school(s).
It really depends on what movements occur. Based on what I have seen Conference USA will very likely lose from the East Division UAB (AAC) and Marshall (Sun Belt) and from the West Division North Texas (Mountain West), Southern Miss (Sun Belt), and either UTEP or UTSA (Mountain West).
If the West loses 3, and East loses 2, the conference could potentially pull Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky to the West Division as long as UTEP goes MWC and not Texas-San Antonio. The travel distances for MTSU and Western Kentucky in the West Division compared to the East are nearly identical in this scenario.
If this were to happen to give the West Division 5 and East Division 4, then Liberty and only Liberty becomes a very viable expansion candidate as a proven FBS program within the East Division footprint.
The alternative?
Mountain West takes North Texas and Texas-San Antonio leaving UTEP on an island. Middle Tennessee and Western Kentucky would fight the conference office if a West Division move was attempted. Conference USA would then have to consider New Mexico State (football only) as long as Louisiana Tech doesn't object, and they may not as long as trips to El Paso and Los Cruces can be alternated for football where travel to the deep Southwest happens only once per year, and then CUSA can pull Texas-Arlington from the Sun Belt (who is looking to leave that conference) to offset NMSU football and raise the profile of CUSA basketball.
Needing one more team for the West Division in all sports to successfully keep the conference split in divisions per NCAA rules, the conference could look at Sam Houston State (most recent FCS football champion) and current member of the WAC. A 2014 feasibility study revealed that SHSU was not ready for FBS football, but that could've changed after over 7 years and several facility upgrades. Being in a Texas-centric division of CUSA with occasional trips to the East Division as opposed to staying in the WAC and traveling to Utah and California regularly in all sports could be helpful.
It's unlikely Jacksonville State or Missouri State would join if they were pushed west. Jacksonville State left the OVC for the Atlantic Sun largely due to geography. The conference could keep at 10-1-1 and still also host championship games in other sports. One need only to see how the MEAC or Patriot League split their basketball divisions to know you don't have to have 6 in each division.
Scenario 1 (10 full members)
East: Old Dominion, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Liberty
West: Louisiana Tech, Rice, UTSA, Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky
Scenario 2 (10 full members, 1 football only, 1 non-football)
East: Old Dominion, Charlotte, Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky
West: Louisiana Tech, Rice, UTEP, Sam Houston State, New Mexico State (football-only), Texas-Arlington (non-football)
Scenario 2 imbalances the East and West Division numbers in football, but as long as the divisions are reasonably split the NCAA typically allows a conference to host a football championship game. CUSA might have to apply for a waiver in this circumstance.